I just think Shame is going to be too out there for the Academy. Like, the way it's being described, I cannot imagine it will get anything other than an NC-17 in the U.S. I'm sure Fassy will some critical support but the film will have to perform like Black Swan in order to make it into the conversation for Oscar. And the Academy is not as crazy about nude men as it is about nude women lol.
I don't think Chastain is substantial enough in Coriolanus. It'll either be The Help (if Viola goes lead) or Take Shelter. Who knows, she might get snubbed altogether. I wouldn't be surprised.
I know, it sucks about Tilda but her films are always a little too outside the mainstream it seems. And the films' overall reviews are just not as strong as the reviews for her actual performance. So yeah, if Viola is lead, then that seals up one nomination for sure.
The thing is - Dragon Tattoo is almost guaranteed to be a box office success while MMMM has to work pretty hard to get noticed outside the indie market. There's room for two ingenues, I think, but definitely not three. And out of the three, I think Mara and Olsen have the best shots. Jones' film is going to be seen as too (500) Days of Summer-ish by the Academy I think.
The Devil's Double already opened here and barely did anything business.. so yeah, I don't think it's happening. The reviews were also kind of middling on the film itself and I don't think Cooper is getting in with this kind of competition. (Descendants, Ides, Shame, Moneyball, Tinker Tailor having all gotten good reviews already for their leads)
I don't think Chastain is substantial enough in Coriolanus. It'll either be The Help (if Viola goes lead) or Take Shelter. Who knows, she might get snubbed altogether. I wouldn't be surprised.
I know, it sucks about Tilda but her films are always a little too outside the mainstream it seems. And the films' overall reviews are just not as strong as the reviews for her actual performance. So yeah, if Viola is lead, then that seals up one nomination for sure.
The thing is - Dragon Tattoo is almost guaranteed to be a box office success while MMMM has to work pretty hard to get noticed outside the indie market. There's room for two ingenues, I think, but definitely not three. And out of the three, I think Mara and Olsen have the best shots. Jones' film is going to be seen as too (500) Days of Summer-ish by the Academy I think.
The Devil's Double already opened here and barely did anything business.. so yeah, I don't think it's happening. The reviews were also kind of middling on the film itself and I don't think Cooper is getting in with this kind of competition. (Descendants, Ides, Shame, Moneyball, Tinker Tailor having all gotten good reviews already for their leads)
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