My dear Goldman had England as the favorite and us as the underdog with Italy and Spain in between. And they have England beating us 2-1 tonight. But they did get yesterday wrong, they had Spain beating Italy 2-1.
According to Goldman’s probability model, England now has a 57.7% chance of reaching the final and a 31.9% chance of winning the
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PS: If we have to lose, I would much rather have us lose to England than anyone else.
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