Oscars 2017: nominations predictions
ну и куда без. в этом году все потенциальные сюрпризы (Форд? Костнер? Дэдпул?) не особенно вдохновляют, поэтому мои самые рискованные ставки будут на Kubo в саундтреках, Сию в песнях и Finding Dory в анимации. а вот обновить личный рекорд - предварительно оглянувшись на результаты предыдущих лет - я, пожалуй, попробую:
2016 - 81/107 (76%)
2015 - 78/107 (73%)
2014 - 83/108 (77%)
2013 - 79/101 (78%)
2012 - 74/104 (71%)
2011 - 73/107 (68%)
UPDATE:
2017 - 87/107 (81%)
Best Picture
(9/9)
'La La Land'
'Moonlight'
'Manchester by the Sea'
'Hell or High Water'
'Arrival'
'Lion'
'Hacksaw Ridge'
'Fences'
'Hidden Figures' (if 9)
'Nocturnal Animals' (if 10)
Best Director
(4/5)
Damien Chazelle ('La La Land')
Barry Jenkins ('Moonlight')
Denis Villeneuve ('Arrival')
Kenneth Lonergan ('Manchester by the Sea')
David Mackenzie ('Hell or High Water')
Best Actor
(5/5)
Casey Affleck ('Manchester by the Sea')
Denzel Washington ('Fences')
Ryan Gosling ('La La Land')
Viggo Mortensen ('Captain Fantastic')
Andrew Garfield ('Hacksaw Ridge')
Best Actress
(4/5)
Emma Stone ('La La Land')
Natalie Portman ('Jackie')
Amy Adams ('Arrival')
Isabelle Huppert ('Elle')
Meryl Streep ('Florence Foster Jenkins')
Best Supporting Actor
(4/5)
Mahershala Ali ('Moonlight')
Jeff Bridges ('Hell or High Water')
Hugh Grant ('Florence Foster Jenkins')
Dev Patel ('Lion')
Lucas Hedges ('Manchester by the Sea')
Best Supporting Actress
(5/5)
Viola Davis ('Fences')
Naomie Harris ('Moonlight')
Nicole Kidman ('Lion')
Michelle Williams ('Manchester by the Sea')
Octavia Spencer ('Hidden Figures')
Best Adapted Screenplay
(5/5)
'Moonlight'
'Arrival'
'Lion'
'Hidden Figures'
'Fences'
Best Original Screenplay
(3/5)
'La La Land'
'Manchester by the Sea'
'Hell or High Water'
'Captain Fantastic'
'Zootopia'
Best Cinematography
(5/5)
'La La Land'
'Moonlight'
'Silence'
'Arrival'
'Lion'
Best Costume Design
(4/5)
'Jackie'
'Florence Foster Jenkins'
'Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them'
'La La Land'
'Hidden Figures'
Best Film Editing
(4/5)
'Moonlight'
'La La Land'
'Arrival'
'Manchester by the Sea'
'Hacksaw Ridge'
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
(1/3)
'Florence Foster Jenkins'
'Deadpool'
'A Man Called Ove'
Best Original Score
(4/5)
'La La Land'
'Lion'
'Kubo and the Two Strings'
'Moonlight'
'Jackie'
Best Original Song
(3/5)
'La La Land' ('City of Stars')
'Trolls' ('Can't Stop the Feeling!')
'Sing Street' ('Drive It Like You Stole It')
'La La Land' ('Audition (The Fools Who Dream'))
'Lion' ('Never Give Up')
Best Production Design
(4/5)
'La La Land'
'Jackie'
'Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them'
'Hail, Caesar!'
'Arrival'
Best Sound Editing
(4/5)
'Hacksaw Ridge'
'Deepwater Horizon'
'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story'
'Arrival'
'Sully'
Best Sound Mixing
(4/5)
'Hacksaw Ridge'
'La La Land'
'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story'
'Deepwater Horizon'
'Arrival'
Best Visual Effects
(4/5)
'The Jungle Book'
'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story'
'Arrival'
'Doctor Strange'
'Kubo and the Two Strings'
Best Animated Feature Film
(4/5)
'Zootopia'
'Kubo and the Two Strings'
'Moana'
'My Life as a Zucchini'
'Finding Dory'
Best Documentary Feature
(3/5)
'O.J: Made in America'
'Weiner'
'13th'
'Fire at Sea'
'Cameraperson'
Best Foreign Language Film
(4/5)
'Toni Erdmann' (Germany)
'Land of Mine' (Denmark)
'The Salesman' (Iran)
'My Life as a Zucchini' (Switzerland)
'Tanna' (Australia)
PREDICTED TALLY:
13 - 'La La Land'
10 - 'Arrival'
8 - 'Moonlight'
7 - 'Manchester by the Sea'
7 - 'Lion'
5 - 'Hacksaw Ridge'
4 - 'Hell or High Water'
4 - 'Fences'
4 - 'Hidden Figures'
4 - 'Jackie'
4 - 'Florence Foster Jenkins'
3 - 'Kubo and the Two Strings'
3 - 'Rogue One: A Star Wars Story'
2 - 'Captain Fantastic'
2 - 'Zootopia'
2 - 'Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them'
2 - 'Deepwater Horizon'
2 - 'My Life as a Zucchini'
1 - ...