Oscars 2016: nominations predictions

[radiojazzz]

ну и неминуемое. в этом году я даже не мечтаю об обновлении каких-либо личных рекордов - до того все (вопреки обыкновению!) весело, интересно и непредсказуемо. (чего стоят мужские роли второго плана, где пять мест оспаривает добрая дюжина выдающихся актеров и где мой прогноз самый смелый.) но попробовать, конечно же, попробую - в надежде на сюрпризы в исполнении Харди, Дель Торо и 'Ex Machina' и с оглядкой на результаты предыдущих лет:

2015 - 78/107 (73%)
2014 - 83/108 (77%)
2013 - 79/101 (78%)
2012 - 74/104 (71%)
2011 - 73/107 (68%)

2016 - 81/107 (76%)



Best Picture
(7/9)

'Spotlight'
'The Revenant'
'The Martian'
'The Big Short'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Carol'
'Brooklyn'
'Straight Outta Compton'

Best Director
(3/5)

Alejandro G. Iñárritu ('The Revenant')
Ridley Scott ('The Martian')
Tom McCarthy ('Spotlight')
George Miller ('Mad Max: Fury Road')
Todd Haynes ('Carol')

Best Actor
(5/5)

Leonardo DiCaprio ('The Revenant')
Michael Fassbender ('Steve Jobs')
Bryan Cranston ('Trumbo')
Eddie Redmayne ('The Danish Girl')
Matt Damon ('The Martian')

Best Actress
(4/5)

Brie Larson ('Room')
Saoirse Ronan ('Brooklyn')
Cate Blanchett ('Carol')
Alicia Vikander ('The Danish Girl')
Charlotte Rampling ('45 Years')

Best Supporting Actor
(4/5)

Mark Rylance ('Bridge of Spies')
Sylvester Stallone ('Creed')
Christian Bale ('The Big Short')
Benicio Del Toro ('Sicario')
Tom Hardy ('The Revenant')

Best Supporting Actress
(4/5)

Kate Winslet ('Steve Jobs')
Rooney Mara ('Carol')
Jennifer Jason Leigh ('The Hateful Eight')
Rachel McAdams ('Spotlight')
Alicia Vikander ('Ex Machina')

Best Adapted Screenplay
(4/5)

'The Big Short'
'Steve Jobs'
'Brooklyn'
'The Martian'
'Carol'

Best Original Screenplay
(4/5)

'Spotlight'
'Inside Out'
'The Hateful Eight'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Ex Machina'

Best Cinematography
(4/5)

'The Revenant'
'Sicario'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Carol'

Best Costume Design
(3/5)

'The Danish Girl'
'Brooklyn'
'Carol'
'Cinderella'
'Trumbo'

Best Film Editing
(4/5)

'The Big Short'
'Spotlight'
'The Martian'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Revenant'

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
(2/3)

'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Revenant'
'Mr. Holmes'

Best Original Score
(4/5)

'The Hateful Eight'
'Carol'
'Bridge of Spies'
'Inside Out'
'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'

Best Original Song
(3/5)

'The Hunting Ground' ('Til It Happens To You')
'Furious 7' ('See You Again')
'Youth' ('Simple Song #3')
'Spectre' ('Writing's on the Wall')
'Southpaw' ('Phenomenal')

Best Production Design
(4/5)

'Bridge of Spies'
'The Danish Girl'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'Cinderella'

Best Sound Editing
(5/5)

'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Sicario'

Best Sound Mixing
(4/5)

'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
'The Revenant'
'The Martian'
'The Hateful Eight'

Best Visual Effects
(4/5)

'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
'Mad Max: Fury Road'
'The Martian'
'The Revenant'
'Jurassic World'

Best Animated Feature Film
(3/5)

'Inside Out'
'Anomalisa'
'Shaun the Sheep Movie'
'The Good Dinosaur'
'Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet'

Best Documentary Feature
(3/5)

'The Look of Silence'
'Amy'
'Cartel Land'
'Listen to Me Marlon'
'Going Clear: Scientology and the Prison of Belief'

Best Foreign Language Film
(3/5)

'Son of Saul' (Hungary)
'Mustang' (France)
'The Brand New Testament' (Belgium)
'Labyrinth of Lies' (Germany)
'Theeb' (Jordan)

PREDICTED TALLY:

10 - 'The Revenant'
9 - 'The Martian'
9 - 'Mad Max: Fury Road'
8 - 'Carol'
6 - 'Bridge of Spies'
5 - 'Spotlight'
4 - 'The Big Short'
4 - 'Brooklyn'
4 - 'The Danish Girl'
4 - 'The Hateful Eight'
4 - 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens'
3 - 'Steve Jobs'
3 - 'Sicario'
3 - 'Inside Out'
2 - 'Trumbo'
2 - 'Ex Machina'
2 - 'Cinderella'
1 - ...