ONTD ORIGINAL: Which Disney 2020 Movies Will Hit 1$B Worldwide?

Aug 18, 2019 20:06

In 2019, Disney has already had 5 movies cross the 1$B worldwide mark (Aladdin, Captain Marvel, Avengers: Endgame, Toy Story 4, and The Lion King), and more are certainly to follow with "Frozen 2" and "The Rise of Skywalker".

But what about next year? Of course, they're not going to have 5 in the club, but which ones will make it?

Onward - March 6th


The first fully fledged Disney movie to be released in 2020 is Pixar's Onward, a month after Sony's "Peter Rabbit 2". I think this is one of 2 movies that might hit the 1$b mark world wide. After all, it goes back to Pixar's old formula (original stories, boys crying about dead men, and a hint of magic in an alternate world).

Of course, it's too early to track any of these, but I guess this opens at over 50m$, maybe, even 75$ like "Zootopia" (Which had actually leaked from overseas releases a few days prior to its release in NA).



Mulan - March 27th

The teaser had a pretty positive reception (From Westeners) despite a lot of complaints about changes. Witches? No Shang? No Mushu?

However, American-born Yifei Liu posted public support on Chinese social media site Weibo for the Hong Kong police who are terrorizing protestors Why? read this).

To make 1$b worldwide, you need pretty healthy support from said world, and the Asia market is a big part of that. There may be more people like Liu who support them and will see this, but there are just as many who may not.

For now, it's a toss-up. We know Americans have no qualm paying for products made by disreputable people, her comments probably won't stop anyone over here.

Black Widow - May 1st


Is this 10 years and 5 wigs too late? While the novelty of a female solo superhero movie hasn't faded, DC already beat Marvel to the punch, and are following up with a sequel to "Wonder Woman" about a month later, and BW will certainly be compared to Warner Bros' "Birds of Prey" from February.

It could make a healthy amount just from the Marvel name alone. A WW total of 600$m or so would still be fine.

Artemis Fowl - May 29th

I wholly admit that any success this movie will have would be a humongous accomplishment. Can it reach 1$b? Can it even reach 100$m worldwide? "A Wrinkle in Time" barely did it.

After being pushed back from it's initial release date of August 9th, 2019, it's now set to drop shortly after Black Widow, at the very end of May. Fans (who are not me) have not been impressed with what's been seen so far.

I think it looks great, though it doesn't look like the books. It'll make at least 10$ from me, but unfortunately, this probably won't succed on a large scale.

And yes, noted creep Harvey Weinstein was dropped from producing this product in 2017.

Soul - June 19th

It's Pixar, so it has a good chance.

It's also ~metaphysical, so it has a better chance.

However, this is the third time Pixar has had 2 movies in the same year, and one always ends up worse off than the other.

2015: "Inside Out" vs. "The Good Dinosaur"
2017: "Cars 3" vs. "Coco"

But "Soul" and "Onward" look more capable than "Cars 3".

Jungle Cruise - July 24th

The Rock will be coming off of "Fast and Furious 9", which will, undoubtably, dominate the Box Office until Black Widow. He'll certainly advertise this on every SM platform he has access to. Will this really be much different than "Jumanji" and "Jumanji: The Next Level"?

Emily Blunt will also be coming off of "A Quiet Place 2" from March.

People like The Rock when he's in a jungle. Jumanji 2 made almost 1$B world wide, this could very well do it. And maybe the gay character will be a character and not a buffoon with his sexuality shoved in at the last moment.

The One and Only Ivan - August 14th
No. If this isn't shunted to Disney+, I'll be surprised.

Also, Sam Rockwell is going to be the voice of Ivan (The titular ape). Will this be his first role not playing a racist in about 2 years?

The Eternals - November 6th


This is the only Disney movie I think has a true chance of succeeding with 1$B. From a standout cast to filling in the gap left from "Thor: Ragnarok" and "Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2" in 2017 for Cosmic Marvel.

Cruella - December 23rd
No.

NOT LISTED: An untitled Disney Animation project for the Thanksgiving break

src:
me
thought
Bing for movie posters
mulan: 1 , 2

disney, box office, ontd original

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