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kitty_616 June 8 2017, 17:43:19 UTC
Here is a list of when constituencies are roughly expected to declare. I’ve got to say I admire Washington and Sunderland West who have bucked the on the hour or half hour trend and seem to be aiming to declare at 00:01 exactly. As usual, we’re looking at almost all seats declaring between 23:00 and 07:00, and it will become pretty clear what’s going on at some point between 04:30 and 06:00.

Leader’s seats to watch:

02:30 - Jeremy Corbyn (Islington North). Super safe Labour seat.
03:00 - Tim Farron (Westmorland and Lonsdale) - Likely Lib Dem, with Conservative competition.
04:30 - Theresa May (Maidenhead). Super safe Conservative seat.
05:00 - Paul Nuttall (Boston and Skegness). Most Brexity constituency. Still a safe Conservative seat. UKIP is floundering in third place according to YouGov.
06:00 - Caroline Lucas (Brighton Pavilion). Safe Green seat.

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kitty_616 June 8 2017, 17:46:40 UTC
I'm also interested in Sheffield Hallam (4:30) and Cambridge (5:00) for Lib Demmy reasons. Cleggy has been relegated to second in the YouGov polling intentions data (which I'm finding interesting in its own right because it's a completely different polling methodology - largest sample size, but participants are chosen less stringently).

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booey_875 June 8 2017, 20:57:58 UTC
I challenge your sad! Nick picture with my happy! picture...

According to this betting forecast I saw, their outlook looks better?

Although I wonder if he's dismissing the Tories too much there - the Tory vote was suppressed last time due to a coalition and by DCam telling them to leave his partner alone .

This is no doubt the one I will stay up late for -- though of course not as interesting or nailbiting as it was in 2015.

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lincolnimp June 8 2017, 17:53:53 UTC
Thanks, that's very helpful!

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kitty_616 June 8 2017, 18:41:14 UTC
My linkage isn't what it use to be, you've got to take the quote from the end of that link when you click it....

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