Intuition
I just wanted to say that I have terrible intuition. That is, that certain kind of mystical premonitory intuition - I totally lack it, and I find this rather disappointing. My mom thinks she has it, and I can't prove her wrong... on a few occasions she's asked me if I'd been really upset the night before and I had, and she'd just woken up at 3am with "a feeling" that something had been wrong. I don't have those. Or, to be more accurate, I have them from time to time... it's just that they're almost always wrong. I can't think of an instance when I had a feeling about what was happening or about to happen and it was correct.
This acts as evidence against there being a connection between all things or even a spiritual world of any kind that can influence this one. Sometimes I think premonitions are just random chance, with a bell curve distribution among people as to how often they're right: most people are right about as often as chance would imply, but there are a few whose premonitions just happen to be right most of the time - and the once-in-an-age prophet who seems to be right every time. Unfortunately, on the other end, there are people like me, who it seems would do better to directly contradict their intuition all the time, whose premonitions, just by chance, are wrong most of the time.
The other implication of this theory is that one should not trust prophets. Being right several times in no way affects their chances of being right at other times (in fact, if we're looking back at them, it implies that the other stuff is less likely to be right, since there's not as much chance that they were right that many times). Each new prophecy or premonition has just as good a chance to be true as any one before it regardless of the history. Like, just because I flip tails three times doesn't mean I should expect the next flip to give me tails. On the other hand, this means that I have as good a chance as anyone to predict something correctly one of these days and that's heartening (if silly).
Don't take any of this too seriously.
This acts as evidence against there being a connection between all things or even a spiritual world of any kind that can influence this one. Sometimes I think premonitions are just random chance, with a bell curve distribution among people as to how often they're right: most people are right about as often as chance would imply, but there are a few whose premonitions just happen to be right most of the time - and the once-in-an-age prophet who seems to be right every time. Unfortunately, on the other end, there are people like me, who it seems would do better to directly contradict their intuition all the time, whose premonitions, just by chance, are wrong most of the time.
The other implication of this theory is that one should not trust prophets. Being right several times in no way affects their chances of being right at other times (in fact, if we're looking back at them, it implies that the other stuff is less likely to be right, since there's not as much chance that they were right that many times). Each new prophecy or premonition has just as good a chance to be true as any one before it regardless of the history. Like, just because I flip tails three times doesn't mean I should expect the next flip to give me tails. On the other hand, this means that I have as good a chance as anyone to predict something correctly one of these days and that's heartening (if silly).
Don't take any of this too seriously.