Nice read here (for those who can be bothered enough - personally, it was fun for me to read it):
I Hate Presidential Poll Numbers (or: An Analysis of Why Donald Trump Will Win) Some select pieces and bits:
"Rarely does a day go by without the media telling us the latest poll numbers and what they mean. And if the election was held today, do you
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Sanders was done a while ago. He does represent a shift that might be more apparent in the future.
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Since Trump and Clinton are both in the toilet from a favorability standpoint, though, it might not matter too much this year.
Which only adds more ammo to the point that favourability as a factor for predicting electoral outcomes (especially this early), is hugely overrated. When the choice is between two terrible options, favourability matters even less. Which still does not mean the press wouldn't waste huge amounts of time and effort constructing entire narratives around it.
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Do not respond to me. In fact, let me freeze this, as I'll keep doing with any other such not-so-subtle personal poke.
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Bernie overachieved - but now he's a nuisance to Hillary and her chances - even moreso if that Trump/Sanders debate actually happens (anyone know if it is?) Every day he is still in the race means more negative feelings and soundbites criticizing Hillary and less time for her to undo them. The left leaning media understand this, and is doing their part to minimize the damage. Maybe it isn't ethical, or fair, or part of their job description at all - but it is understandable.
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You could've just said it's like the pitcher scratching his balls until everyone on the stands falls asleep, and you'd be understood just as well. ;)
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Lincoln only did that because the Democrats intentionally self-destructed and the consequences of that were a four year bloodbath that got some 720,000 people killed so that's hardly a role model to be endorsed here.
Though mathematically Bernie had a thin chance at best to take the nomination and has spent most of his campaign running to stay in the same place. His candidacy speaks more to a need to reform election laws to strip-mine aspects of the system and overhaul them into something completely different as opposed to anything else.
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