CFUW 131 - Chie

Sep 11, 2011 20:18

I think we should talk.

cfuw

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isthisourchance September 12 2011, 03:22:32 UTC
Good idea. What's up?

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succubusting September 12 2011, 03:33:20 UTC
So I know who you'll say is the wolf in your clue. What do you think about the first one?

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isthisourchance September 13 2011, 02:08:43 UTC
Sorry I'm so late replying to you here! [sigh] I'm leaning toward Garrus, because Rika's reasoning makes a lot of sense to me. It would've been easy for the wolves to lead the voting and claim first-day confusion.

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isthisourchance September 13 2011, 02:16:18 UTC
Then again... Sorry, this just occurred to me. Considering both me and Guy didn't vote in the first ousting, whichever of us is the wolf, that means only two of them voted. So they could only have done so much to lead it...

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succubusting September 13 2011, 02:22:37 UTC
That's the thing that keeps gnawing at me. At most, there's only two wolves in the first suspicion poll.

Annie didn't vote in it either, and it's between her and Narumi from my perspective, which means it's possible (at least from my perspective) that there's only one wolf vote. Narumi was out most of the day too, and voted first, so he wouldn't have been able to shift the vote if it wasn't in their favor either.

Neither Annie or Narumi voted in ousting, and neither did Guy. I'm still leaning toward Guy as the wolf in your clue, which means... if Garrus was a wolf, he might have been the only wolf voting in ousting. If Rika was a wolf, the only way a wolf could have voted in ousting (again, from my perspective, but) is if it was you.

Honestly, I feel like that's a lot to discount out of hand.

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isthisourchance September 13 2011, 02:48:40 UTC
[nods slowly] I see what you mean. Sorry I'm responding so slowly, but it's a lot to think about. If Garrus is the wolf, the wolves didn't need to worry about voting in the ousting, because they won no matter what. But if it's Rika... It seems strange that they'd let it tie and leave it up to chance like that.

And actually, before Lambdadelta voted, it was 3-2 for Rika, from the chart she made.

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succubusting September 13 2011, 02:52:41 UTC
Believe me, I understand. I've been doing a lot of thinking about it too.

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