I swear there's a word for this..

Sep 09, 2008 11:30

A word for the phenomenon of repeatedly encountering something that you have, until very recently, not encountered in a long time. Like you haven't seen your friend John in ten years, and then you meet him at the grocery store, movie theater, and walking down the street in the span of a week.

Such is the case with me and the Monty Hall problem. Most recently, I found a link on reddit about it. It's one of those cases where your intuitive logic is completely and utterly wrong. The basis is that you're on a game show with three doors. Whichever door you pick, you get the prize behind it. Behind two doors lie goats; the third contains a car. You pick a door, and the host, who knows where the prizes are, opens one of the other two to reveal a goat. He then gives you the option of changing the door you selected to the other closed door. The question is.. should you?

The intuitive answer is, it doesn't matter. There are two closed doors left, one with a car and one with a goat. Each door has a 50% chance of winning a car, so one is as good as the other.

The correct answer is, you should. And that bugs the hell out of people, myself included.

Edit: Google ftw. "word describe phenomenon repeatedly encounter short period of time" -> The Baader-Meinhof Phenomenon
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