В продолжение сегодняшнего
Грузия и НАТО Билл Френч считает, что Грузию нельзя принимать в НАТО, поскольку это может рассердить Путина.
A Bad Move: Further NATO Expansion Небольшая выдержка:
... Even if one assumes that Russia would not attack a fresh member of NATO, enlarging the alliance-especially to Georgia-would dramatically increase the likelihood of severe crises between Moscow and the West. Given the facts on the ground in Georgia, a strong casus belli for Moscow or Tbilisi would be only a half-step removed from present circumstances. Russia maintains 7,000 soldiers in Georgia’s breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia-neither of which are recognized by Georgia or most of the international community. Russia has built up infrastructure as well. In the case of Abkhazia, for example Moscow has invested nearly half a billion dollars in upgrading the port of Ochamchira, from which Russian Coast Guard vessels operate, and the Bombora airfield, which has seen Russian MiG-29 and Su-27 deployments. In other words, if Georgia were to join the alliance, NATO’s Article 5 would be extended to disputed political space in which the Russian armed forces already operate under post-conflict conditions. Moscow’s accusations that Georgia harbors anti-Russian terrorists provide additional pathways for crises and escalation as well.
Кстати, насчет Article 5 советую послушать ответ Аласании на этот вопрос.