I assume you mean Snarry? :) I confess I haven't tracked those numbers. It's possible they would show similar trends.
But your suggestion that the same core people who write H/D are at their max output is pretty much what I was thinking too ♥ Although I'm sure there is some fluidity with some authors leaving the fandom and new ones coming in to replace them, but overall the numbers do seem rather stable :)
I do mean Snarry. I'm surprised you know that. ;) And I didn't say because, well, I didn't want to be seen as contaminating your H/D post or anything. LOL. And yes, H/D does seem to have new people joining, but I suspect, like our corner of fandom, it's only just enough to account for the attrition of older writers.
You learn a lot about various authors when you start tracking fics from every HP fest you can find :) I'm sure there's lots I don't know, but your love for Snarry is very clear ♥
I think if I had the resources to track fic output over the last decade, say, we'd probably see a large spike in the year or two right before and after DH, and then a slow decline for a couple of years before a leveling off. This is just an impression, mind you - I don't have stats to back it up. But I think that the HD fandom is still pretty active, and that this activity has been more-or-less stable for the past couple of years.
The fandom has changed to be a bit more fest-oriented however. In the early days, more fic was created independent of fests, and there were far fewer fests as well. (see my post on that hereSometime in 2010 or so, interest in fests took off and that is where a lot of the action has been in recent years. Not that people don't still write for other reasons, just that fest participation is a bigger sector of fandom than it used to
( ... )
Well that's a good thing I suppose. People should know what they're getting into. ;)
I think you're right about the spike, although I imagine there was another one, albeit smaller, after each of the movies, too. As for the leveling off, I'm not sure we've seen how low it will go yet, although I hope you're right that this is the plateau point. I was just talking to torino10154 about the same thing. We keep debating whether expanding the Snarry fests to other places (AO3, Tumblr) would be a good way to re energize the Snarry corner of fandom since comment numbers continue to decline, even as the number of Snarry fen stays stable.
Oh yes, in the ~Golden Era™ people just wrote for writing's sake, to tell a story, but these days unless you're in a fest, you won't get comments and no matter what we all say, we do go where the comments are. Not that fests are bad things, IMO. Even though I love my Snarry, I write a lot of other things, and I doubt I'd stretch myself nearly as much without fests.
It makes me wonder what the numbers would be for my OTP.
And I wonder if the numbers are stable because the same core number of people who write H/D no matter what fest it's for are at their max output?
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But your suggestion that the same core people who write H/D are at their max output is pretty much what I was thinking too ♥ Although I'm sure there is some fluidity with some authors leaving the fandom and new ones coming in to replace them, but overall the numbers do seem rather stable :)
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And I didn't say because, well, I didn't want to be seen as contaminating your H/D post or anything. LOL.
And yes, H/D does seem to have new people joining, but I suspect, like our corner of fandom, it's only just enough to account for the attrition of older writers.
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I think if I had the resources to track fic output over the last decade, say, we'd probably see a large spike in the year or two right before and after DH, and then a slow decline for a couple of years before a leveling off. This is just an impression, mind you - I don't have stats to back it up. But I think that the HD fandom is still pretty active, and that this activity has been more-or-less stable for the past couple of years.
The fandom has changed to be a bit more fest-oriented however. In the early days, more fic was created independent of fests, and there were far fewer fests as well. (see my post on that hereSometime in 2010 or so, interest in fests took off and that is where a lot of the action has been in recent years. Not that people don't still write for other reasons, just that fest participation is a bigger sector of fandom than it used to ( ... )
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I think you're right about the spike, although I imagine there was another one, albeit smaller, after each of the movies, too. As for the leveling off, I'm not sure we've seen how low it will go yet, although I hope you're right that this is the plateau point.
I was just talking to torino10154 about the same thing. We keep debating whether expanding the Snarry fests to other places (AO3, Tumblr) would be a good way to re energize the Snarry corner of fandom since comment numbers continue to decline, even as the number of Snarry fen stays stable.
Oh yes, in the ~Golden Era™ people just wrote for writing's sake, to tell a story, but these days unless you're in a fest, you won't get comments and no matter what we all say, we do go where the comments are. Not that fests are bad things, IMO. Even though I love my Snarry, I write a lot of other things, and I doubt I'd stretch myself nearly as much without fests.
Okay, off to read your other post now. :)
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