Sep 10, 2008 23:15
Fact:
Obama needs:
1. Every Northeastern region of the US, including New Hampshire. ME, MD, VT, NH, DE, MA, NJ, NY, RI, CT
2. All the Rustbelt states, aside from Indiana and Missouri. Needs, WI, MN, MI, PA, IL, IA. We can handle not winning Ohio, but we really really want it.
3. All Western States: CA, WA, OR, even including HI.
4. New Mexico
5. One or both, but needs at least one: NV or CO or both.
6. Does not need the south, but to get one would be a nice bonus.
If we get all those states in the list, including NV, CO and OH...Obama wins with 298 Electoral Votes. If he has none of these three swing states, McCain wins with 274 Electoral Votes. If he maintains all states in the list and gets either NV or CO without OH, he wins with 273. ONLY NEEDS 270 TO WIN.
IF Obama loses NH but gets CO or NV the Electoral College is tied 269 Obama 269 McCain: Tie goes to the House, which is Democratically dominant and Obama wins.
Obama needs to go back to giving nicely said stump speeches. He's boring when he's off the cuff, not too many people can handle his professor talk too long. And Sarah Palin is too feisty, she's getting independents back to oldy moldy McCain and Obama cannot allow that to happen. He needs to win. America is a better country than this and Republicans will keep it detriorating if they win.
You can tell I'm obsessed. :)