Apr 08, 2012 15:52
For those who do hockey pools:
My computer is going with Boston (E2) to win Lord Stanley's Cup this year at a whopping 12% of the time. All the 1 and 2 seeds are good bets, no surprises there. New Jersey Devils (E6) and Detroit Red Wings (W5) could be good dark horse picks this year.
I'm sure some people will ask why Ottawa and Washington aren't beating NY Rangers and Boston in the first round after doing well against them all season. Well, because my computer is only looking for minute by minute chance of a goal happening using reg season data, while it completes the whole playoffs one hockey minute at a time. The results posted are after 200 full playoffs were finished.
STANLEY CUP
FINALS
SEMIFINALS
QUARTERFINALS
AVG GOALS
MEDIAN GOALS
E1
NYR
9.0%
17.0%
33.0%
58.0%
34.655
28
E2
BOS
12.0%
21.0%
47.5%
69.5%
43.305
45
E3
FLA
2.0%
5.0%
11.0%
39.5%
23.235
17
E4
PIT
6.5%
16.5%
28.0%
51.5%
36.21
28
E5
PHI
4.5%
10.5%
23.0%
48.5%
32.455
25
E6
NJD
8.5%
17.0%
29.5%
60.5%
34.375
31
E7
WAS
2.5%
4.0%
11.0%
30.5%
23.915
18.5
E8
OTT
3.5%
9.0%
17.0%
42.0%
29.14
21
W1
VAN
10.5%
16.0%
30.0%
55.0%
32.695
25
W2
STL
8.0%
19.5%
35.5%
57.5%
33.52
27.5
W3
PHX
4.0%
10.5%
22.0%
57.0%
30.905
28
W4
NAS
7.5%
12.5%
25.0%
46.5%
30.06
20.5
W5
DET
9.0%
16.0%
30.5%
53.5%
33.785
28
W6
CHI
3.0%
7.0%
19.0%
43.0%
28.31
21
W7
SJS
4.5%
8.5%
18.0%
42.5%
27.145
18.5
W8
LAK
5.0%
10.0%
20.0%
45.0%
26.61
18