It takes a century and a half of political imagination, heroic toil and, to be sure, great geopolitical luck to build a country like Canada. It takes but a year or two of hubris, lassitude and ignorance for the whole thing to be lost.
There is today in Canada a dangerous line of argument that must be checked by all thinking citizens: It holds that
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1) Something happens (corruption scandal erupts, Harper does/says something stupid, it rains on a tuesday, a dog sniffs another dog's butt...)
2) "Well if Quebec was an independent country this wouldn't happen/we would have better control over these things/dogs wouldn't sniff my crotch."
3) Cue 10 million news articles about referendums, all of which include dumbass comments with buzzwords such as "colonisé," "immigrants," "assimilation," & "intégration."
4) Profit
/can y'all tell I'm sick of the provincial elections already?
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At the moment, support for sovereignty is at an all time low, but it is ALWAYS in the background of things, since the official opposition is the Parti Québécois, and there's at least 3 other "big" provincial parties that all have sovereignty as their bottom line.
The PQ and the CAQ will not do a referendum if they get elected (they want to, but for various reasons they won't, yet.) Since they are the most likely options to be elected on Sept. 4th, you won't be hearing much about a [legitimate] referendum for the next years. However if by some odd miracle QS or ON get elected...
If ever there is a successful referendum, and we'll say VERY successful and uncontestable at like 70%, it will take a long, Long, LONG time before it is all finalized. Because for all the talk about sovereignty, and the decades this has all being going on, they still don't have a plan. Can't even tell you what currency we'd use. Or what would realistically happen to the anglo universities (I can assure you McGill will pick itself up, down to the blades of grass, if you tried to make it a franco uni.)
Hell even down to what to do with the couple million people who, until that moment, were born in Canada - dual citizenship? Plus there'd have to be long fights over land, because unless the First Nations in Quebec have changed their minds, in 1994 they basically told the PQ to fuck off, they were staying in Canada (since all their rights are bestowed by the Feds.) The entire north of Quebec is basically 90% Inuit communities, and there's multiple reserves around Montreal. That'll look swell on the map - all of this is Quebec, kids, except for those random little Switzerland-like surrounded holes that are actually Canada.
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I certainly hope the CAQ wouldn't, considering they are not a sovereignist party...
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