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schmiss August 24 2009, 20:42:04 UTC
More likely doesn't mean they will. What have we got to lose?

Ohio - I would give us a 70% chance of winning here
Missouri - ditto, although you can up that further now that Michael Steele's all "flush Roy Blunt lmao!!"
New Hampshire - I think we'll win it
Illinois - sorry Kirk, it's not happening
Delaware - why is Castle polling so well? because HIS COMPETITION IS IN IRAQ. sheesh.
Pennsylvania - yeah this is a 50-50 but I think we'll hold it
California - duh
Nevada - lol. Harry Reid might be a pussy in the Senate but he has ~connections~ here so no I don't think we'll lose
Colorado: eh. we would be better if Ritter hadn't appointed such a blah candidate but I think Bennet will pull it off

Where we could lose:

Connecticut - but we already knew that
Louisiana - Melancon is a coup but I don't think it's gonna work
Florida - nah.
South Carolina - oh how I wish but I don't think it'll happen

Eh:

Texas - who the hell knows what's going on there
North Carolina - no good candidates but then Kay Hagan didn't start off as a barnburner either
Arkansas - ok, who cares? Like we'd lose anything by losing Blanche Lincoln

So if my predictions are right, that is +3 for the Dems, +1 for the Republicans, and 3 seats in the air. Which would mean 61-64 seats for the Dems. Unless there's shock loss then we're keeping our baby majority.

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cookie_nut August 24 2009, 21:37:37 UTC
Delaware - why is Castle polling so well? because HIS COMPETITION IS IN IRAQ. sheesh.

Don't remind me. T.T

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