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screamingintune April 27 2016, 19:11:43 UTC
I expect Bernie will drop out and concede after the last primary. Hillary was closer to Obama than Bernie is to her and she waited until June 7 in 2008, so I expect he'll concede around the same time.

Trump, I think, may actually get the requisite number of pledged delegates. I'm starting to think neither side will be a contested convention, unless things just go haywire at the RNC, which is entirely possible.

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dafuqgetoffmeho April 27 2016, 19:18:21 UTC
sweetmizre April 27 2016, 19:59:20 UTC
I feel like there is no way the GOP is going to let Trump get the nomination easily at the convention, even if he has the right amount of votes ... it isn't a democratic process after all. Their party will be damaged either way though.

Handing him the nomination is literally just conceding to lose the election in November.

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sugartitty April 27 2016, 20:05:51 UTC
My impression is that they've already accepted that they're not going to win the election in November regardless of who they nominate. However, Trump would represent a total, utter defeat whereas they're hoping with Cruz that they can still recover in the future. It's lose/lose in 2016 though.

What I don't understand is why they didn't rally around Kasich earlier, since he's their one candidate who could have had a slim chance at defeating Hillary. He's dead in the water now, though.

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fenchurchly April 27 2016, 20:49:10 UTC
I completely agree.

As for Kasich, I think they just missed the boat with each of their "establishment" candidates. First it was Jeb, then Rubio, and now Kasich. Each time they pick someone to back it's too late.

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sweetmizre April 27 2016, 21:19:23 UTC
They definitely should've done that ... too little too late!

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tabaqui April 27 2016, 21:01:03 UTC
It really is. But they just don't seem to have any single prospect that could come near to winning in November.

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