GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show

[hinoema]

Shutting down the government may end up costing Republicans control of the House of Representatives

Comments

[blackjedii]

I am not entirely certain they'll be able to overcome gerrymandering tbqh.

I emailed my own congressperson (Morgan Griffith) and he sent me this waay long email about how the Senate was the one to blame because Obamacare. Checked his Facebook and unfortunately there were more voices of support than against him at the moment. :| Seeing as how we're the dirt poor section of Virginia... I doubt Democrats will be making a concentrated move here.

[hinoema]

The Virginia district listed as a potential flip is VA-02/ Rigell.

[redstar826]

Results show that would be within reach, as Republican incumbents are behind in 17 of the districts analyzed: CA-31, CO-06, FL-02, FL-10, FL-13, IA-03, IA-04, IL-13, KY-06, MI-01, MI-07, MI-11, NY-19, OH-14, PA-07, PA-08, WI-07

MI-11? Really? Even with a gawd awful candidate the Republican establishment didn't even want in '12 (the incumbent was forced to resign right before the primary) they still were able to take that district. If they knock Bentivolio out in the primary with a candidate actually from this planet, I can't see the Dems taking that seat the way it is drawn.

[layweed]

Funny, just this morning Fox News Sunday said that Obamacare would be such a disaster that the GOP would win the House and Senate in 2014, and Presidency in 2016.

[moonshaz]

LMAO!

[gambitia]

I want to believe, but...

We're still a long ways away from the next election cycle; it would be nice to have a blue House but so much will change in between then and now.

EDIT: Looking at the numbers more closely, I see nothing about MN. Bachman was nearly ousted last election and she's reportedly not running again, so I'd imagine the chance is high that that seat could swing blue, or at least get a competent moderate Republican in it.

[clarice_01]

Probably not swing blue. The only reason that race was so close was that she is crazy and people finally figured that out. The district is probably close to the most red in all of MN. There may be a chance of a competent Republican, but I wouldn't count on moderate.

[ohmiya_sg]

That first part is what I think, too. It's too far off in the future for a lot of voters to remember the facts.

[emofordino]

same, although i'm sure the dems won't allow anyone to forget come election time. whether or not people still care by then remains to be seen. i'm taking the same approach as you are--not getting my hopes up 'til i see it happen.

[yeats]

i know the polls in nj have been tightening, but i really can't imagine lonegan winning it, shutdown or no.

[wrestlingdog]

Same.