Almost 900 people are RSVPed for a July 4th march on Washington, D.C. where protesters plan to carry loaded rifles. In D.C., openly carrying guns is against the law. But the organizer of the event, libertarian radio host Adam Kokesh, says the march is an act of “civil disobedience” that attempts to prove gun advocates’ point in the “SUBTLEST way
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Most rank and file soldiers are recruited when the government takes out their poppy fields and they need money, which the INS will provide for them (Or their family if they die) if they help them out. Then you have the corruption in the newly established government. It's a quagmire.
One that would be repeated here in America if the US government ever acted on a large scale against a widespread group of the American populace. Kent State and Waco were bad enough and caused second and third order of effects that are being felt to this day. If the military were ever turned out and used to forcibly put down a group of the gun protesters, it's only going to propagate. Look at the propaganda being put out by the far right. Think about the sympathies of those who wear a uniform. If the US government ever has to use Army, Navy, or Air Force to "Put down a bunch of gun loons" you're going to find a quick fracturing of those units being sent in. Giving a 18 year old a gun and some ammo and telling him to protect his buddies and kill insurgents in Afghanistan is a lot difference then telling him to walk into a US city and suppress a group of people he went to high school with.
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So many people would die. And, like you said... I don't think the government or the "country" would survive. It would likely wind up being several different groups of former states. Not ~The United States of America~.
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???
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In short, you'd be fighting a smarter, better armed populace that has direct access to, and in some cases IS, your supply chain.
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The army has plenty of manpower for what they'd be doing.
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You're completely ignoring the fact that the American people have have spent the last ten years getting schooled in how to fight guerrilla war. That the leaders of said revolt would be the ones with military experience, and probably with experience hunting as well. For all of Afghanistan's experience with warfare they still SUCK at it. They don't understand tactics, they haven't figured out how to effectively use their heavy weapon systems , and they don't have the matériel, on either side, to learn proper marksmanship with small arms or RPGs/mortars.
The last rebellion was an incredibly bloody affair and you're kidding yourself if you think that another one would be less so.
Empires fall. That's what they do. America has been around less than 250 years, and the chances that we'll last another 250 are slim to none. The Roman Republic lasted five hundred years before civil wars ripped it apart and it became an empire to survive. America is guaranteed nothing.
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Really? You call a bunch of....big-boned...people playing Call of Duty schooling in guerrilla war? Americans don't understand a damn thing about this. Case in point: all the idiots who make comments about revolution openly on the Internet. Smart insurgents do not leave obvious trails for people to find. This in fact is a fairly basic thing about how to do it right, and almost none of the wannabe Wolverines bother with that.
So, pick your argument about Afghanistan. Is it a good example of insurgency or isn't it?
I didn't say it wouldn't be bloody. What I did say is it's guaranteed to fail. If the Soviet Union could do this in the 1940s with less impressive, clumsier weapons, a hypothetical evil!USA is more than able to do with with finer, shinier weapons, satellite reconaissance of increasingly great accuracy, and facing a bunch of overweight rednecks barely capable of aiming at the broad side of a barn.
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I don't think you understand the technological divide between Afghanistan and the US. Or the sheer ridiculousness of how many guns we have in this country.
You think I'm referring to the people playing Call of Duty? Really? I'm not worry about people who sit on their ass playing Xbox all day. I'm referring to the hunters, the survivalists, the doomsday preppers, and most importantly the vets. Have you seen the numbers for unemployment in vets? Have you seen the backlog that the VA gets? You think that there isn't a pretty big well of resentment built up right now? We won't even get into the criminal element that would thrive on a civil war. Or the unscrupulous parts of the military industrial complex that see quite a profit in such a fight. Or the people who would desert their posts in very short order, probably with as much supply and materiel as they can scrounge or steal.
Afghanistan is great at insurgency. They have the networks down, they have the compartmentalization, they are able to use propaganda effectively. What they're not good at doing is effectively using their weapons systems or utilizing tactics. Downrange their isn't a lot to do, so after every failed attack you sit around and talk about how they could've done the attack effectively. Then you guard against that. Both the ANSF and the INS in Afghanistan have Stormtrooper level marksmanship.
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I think it's a useless well of resentment. A negligible one that will have little effect.
I mean, in order for them to win against the American government, the FIRST thing they would have to do is simultaneously gain control of several nuclear launching facilities (either land-based and/or a bunch of boomers) and launch against every American city on the Eastern and Western seaboard.
If they don't, they're expecting to fight from the rural areas where only 18-20% of the population live. And they'll be fighting to conquer 80% of the population in urban and suburban areas. And how are they going to keep the "liberal threat" from happening again? There's only one method that works and that's mass extermination.
No, I don't see them winning. They don't have the guts to do what it would take to win.
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You're right that it's going to turn on ideological stances, but you have to keep in mind that the majority of the country land wise is not the majority of the country people wise. The government doesn't have the manpower or the resources to clear out all that acreage. The slow bleed of US lives that happens in Afghanistan is pretty easy to sweep under the rug. If it it starts happening in America, the people are going to get more and more adamant that steps have to be taken. And every step the government takes down the path causes some people to look at what's happening and think? What the fuck, I don't want to be part of this.
As for nuclear weapons... if A nuclear weapon is launched, then it's not just America that's fucked.
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I think that's a meaningless question. My choices are to side with the American government who will at least pretend to give a shit about me or to side with the gung-ho militia folk out in the wilderness. Who is more likely to turn me into a brood mare? Hmmmm.
Who is going to take on that 18-20%?
American military.
I think that the idea that all of the urban/suburbanites would fall on the blue side of the divide is as ridiculous as saying that all of the rural population would fall on the red side.
That won't be how it actually divides, but that is how the rebels will view it, according to the propaganda they put out on Free Republic, Rapture Ready, etc. Am I to assume they will not act on what they state? That's foolish.
You're not going to see state by state division like you saw in the Civil War.
Correct. It will be urban/suburban versus rural. You see, only in the rural areas do Real Americans reside, the makers. Only takers live in the city and suburbs.
but you have to keep in mind that the majority of the country land wise is not the majority of the country people wise.
That is obvious. I stated as much. The majority of the USA lives in cities and suburbs.
The government doesn't have the manpower or the resources to clear out all that acreage.
I disagree. It can be done correctly and methodically. Corporations will provide assistance.
If it it starts happening in America, the people are going to get more and more adamant that steps have to be taken. And every step the government takes down the path causes some people to look at what's happening and think? What the fuck, I don't want to be part of this.
And what are they going to do? Join up with the Tea Party Republic and swear to exterminate the liberal threat under the absolute authority of Supreme Teapot Bachmann? When they get their order to exterminate a Muslim family from Commandant Pamela Geller, with option to take the 13-year-old as a rape slave, do you think they'll like being part of that?
American Government or American Taliban. Hmmm. Tough choice there.
As for nuclear weapons... if A nuclear weapon is launched, then it's not just America that's fucked.
It's the only chance the rebels would have to secure victory.
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What corporations are going to help? Why would they do so? How does that benefit their bottom line? What corporations have standing corps of personnel trained and ready to fight insurgencies? Are you referring to mercenary companies? Where's that money coming from? Which side do you think that people like the Koch brothers are going to come in on? Or, as is more likely, they'd play both sides to make as much money as possible.
No one wins if this comes to pass. Not a single person. Not "conservatives", not "liberals", not people. The United States of America would cease to exist as a Republic.
The only people that would win if a nuclear weapon was launched would be the cockroaches.
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