Comments | obama_2008: Mathematically, Hillary STILL cannot win. She only gained 14 delegates. Voting thresholds.

tri_blog in obama_2008

Mathematically, Hillary STILL cannot win. She only gained 14 delegates. Voting thresholds.

Mar 05, 2008 08:57

Relax, everybody. We may lick our wounds today, but once again, the math speaks loudly against Clinton EVER beating Obama in pledged delegates. It's virtually impossible, no matter how much Clinton spins it!

Continuing my previous delegate math postLet's look at what REALLY happened last night. I used the most accurate delegate numbers I could ( Read more... )

Comments 15

plumtreeblossom March 5 2008, 18:01:36 UTC

Thank you for this! I always like your posts. :-)

miss_opinion March 5 2008, 18:04:14 UTC

Same :) Math does not like Hillary Clinton. There's a bumper stick I need to have.

sergeanthowarth March 5 2008, 18:27:31 UTC

Nice. I'd buy that too. I'm a math education major, so it'd extra-special for me.

Math is Troubling tri_blog March 5 2008, 18:06:37 UTC

My pleasure. :p

Clinton Wins Big, But Math is Troubling (Time):

"Given the remaining contests - many with electorates favorable to Obama - Obama's existing hundred-plus delegate lead, and the rules by which Democrats apportion delegates, it is almost a political and mathematical certainty that Obama will have an elected delegate lead at the end of the process, barring dramatic, unforeseen circumstances.

Some of the upcoming states to vote - including Wyoming on Saturday and Mississippi on March 11 - are likely to swing strongly for Obama, and certainly show no signs of being Clinton blowouts. The same goes for North Carolina on May 6, and Oregon on May 20.

Other contests might be more favorable for Clinton (Pennsylvania, Indiana, Guam, West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota), but even decisive wins in those states - say, in the 60-40 range-would still leave her behind in both elected delegates and the overall count. That remains true even if Clinton somehow succeeds in getting the disputed delegates from Florida and Michigan ( ... )

gonzo_md March 5 2008, 18:02:11 UTC

Holy shit. Thanks for helping us breathe a little easier. I hope everyone reads this carefully.

kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 18:09:23 UTC

LOL... I wouldn't have been able to put that together in a month...

The delegate counter makes me feel good, considering you gave her every state by 10 % (which is highly unlikey) So I too am now breathing easier...

artemis77 March 5 2008, 18:13:20 UTC

THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU

ukbedeviled March 5 2008, 18:15:35 UTC

Even though I was upset by the results of last night I knew in the back of mind that the Texas Caucus was leaning towards Obama, but it still stings when I open a web page and its Hil'liar'y everywhere. I can only assume the news is skipping all the facts here of Obama's delegate and Caucus wins, just to report this 'Comeback' story,so lame.