Comments | obama_2008: Mathematically, Hillary CANNOT win!

tri_blog in obama_2008

Mathematically, Hillary CANNOT win!

Mar 04, 2008 16:49

Continuing my previous post,

I went to the Slate Delegate Calculator and blindly gave Clinton a 55% victory in all remaining 16 elections, including today's. (This does not include Florida and Michigan.)

Guess what?

( Read more... )

Comments 24

You are a ray of sunshine. artemis77 March 5 2008, 01:12:45 UTC

MSNBC and CNN viewing is making me anxious - this is a much better sight.

Re: You are a ray of sunshine. miss_opinion March 5 2008, 01:14:30 UTC

amen! and I'm actually watching Reba :D LOL No way am I watching the news now.

Re: You are a ray of sunshine. artemis77 March 5 2008, 01:32:02 UTC

You are strong. :) I'm watching some mustached and goateed dude on MSNBC playing the delegate numbers game.

Re: You are a ray of sunshine. chailash March 5 2008, 02:28:27 UTC

I like that guy. His numbers make me optimistic.

Thread 7

kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 01:13:59 UTC

Well, hopefully that doesn't happen, because I am pretty sure some of those superdelagates would jump ship on Obama if he lost that many! (Not that I think he will be any stretch)

kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 01:14:21 UTC

Obama is looking really good in TX so far!

sideofzen March 5 2008, 01:29:01 UTC

Someone should send the Clinton campaign a link. =P

I'm sure they know all this, but GOD, they just want be obnoxious and stretch this out. Barring anything catastrophic, I believe that Obama will be our nominee, it's just a matter of WHEN.

kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 01:32:51 UTC

The campaign chairman for the clinton campaign keeps talking about how she will win Texas, but the numbers seem to be leaning Obama so far!

sideofzen March 5 2008, 01:34:52 UTC

I expect her to win Ohio, but I'd be truly surprised to see her win Texas. Especially with the enormous early voting gap they've shown so far.

kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 01:50:42 UTC

That was what I was thinking...

Thread 7

rubyspirit March 5 2008, 01:35:07 UTC

You have to include Michigan and Florida. There is NO WAY Hillary will quit with those delegates up in the air. She will fight to her death to have them re-instated.

Including Michigan and Florida tri_blog March 5 2008, 01:47:14 UTC

Ok, let's do it.

Florida has 185 pledged delegates.
Michigan has 128 pledged delegates.

Assuming Clinton again wins them by 55%-45%, she gains around 30 delegates.

She'd still be 30 pledged delegates behind Obama.

Re: Including Michigan and Florida kayasbluetaco March 5 2008, 01:52:54 UTC

Thats only if they hold new contests... Obama wasn't on the ballot in Michigan, so if they go with how it is, he wouldn't get any...

IF they decide to count those two states, they really need to redo it, not accept the original counts. Otherwise, I have a real problem with the integrity of the democratic party and the candidates that agreed to "boycott" then changed their minds *cough* Hillary *cough*

Re: Including Michigan and Florida tri_blog March 5 2008, 01:54:27 UTC

I seriously doubt even Hillary would accept the results of Michigan, where Obama wasn't even on the ballot. Florida's governor has said he's willing to redo the contest.

Thread 6