Why Corbyn must go

Jul 20, 2016 22:27

I'm not deeply invested in the fortunes of Britain's Labour Party. (I accidentally rejoined the Lib Dems last year, but haven't paid any subscription this year so possibly am no longer a member.) But I am very interested in questions of political leadership, and in the quality of democracy in a political system ( Read more... )

labour party, uk politics

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lovingboth July 20 2016, 23:20:54 UTC
A month after the Tories last showed they cannot be trusted to do anything right if it's vaguely connected with Europe - 'Black Wednesday' in 1992 - they'd gone from 3% ahead in the polls to 22% behind. They never recovered from that and it was twenty three more years before they won a majority in a General Election.

The latest YouGov poll has them 11% ahead of Labour. Despite Brexit being the worst completely unnecessary Tory wound on the UK since Suez, voters are going 'actually, I prefer that lot' in large enough numbers to increase their majority.

How bad an opposition do you have to be for that to happen? We now know the answer.

It's particularly significant because YouGov are the only pollster to have ever shown any Labour lead since the 2015 election. (Three times, max 3%, so within the margin of error.)

It should be impossible to get a bet on Labour winning the next election! Instead you can get 10-3 on them just being the largest party, not actually getting a majority. I suspect that the chance of Corbyn losing the leadership is built into those odds, because if he stays, they're looking very very ungenerous.

It's lovely to see a Labour leader who's first thought is not 'What would the Daily Mail think?' but what we have in Corbyn is a Labour leader who clearly doesn't want to win a General Election, and that's more of a moral crime than anything Blair did.

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