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Apr 28, 2009 22:23

Poll Love in the time of swine fever

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andrewwilde April 28 2009, 21:50:50 UTC
I'll buck the trend, based on a set of personal circs that won't apply to most of your f-list:

  • I'm going to be heading on a plane to an area not too far away (Trinidad, Guyana, etc). The flu bit, here, wouldn't be an issue. On a plane, coming back from somewhere close on a 10-12hr flight, that's different. Changes the odds somewhat.
  • It seems to be pretty virulent: A normal flu epidemic wouldn't have killed a couple of hundred people in a matter of weeks.
  • It seems to be pretty contagious - 7 of 22 people in close contact with the 2 Scots (incl co-workers, for example) are showing symptoms within days ( ... )
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    andrewwilde April 28 2009, 21:53:55 UTC
    That said, the hype around H5N1 (avian flu from China) was unfounded - not contagious, not really that virulent, etc etc. I'd have voted 1 for that episode.

    Do I trust the news? No. The figures? I'll make my own mind up, but initial guess is this one's different...

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    nicnac April 29 2009, 13:55:42 UTC
    Yeah.. I wasn't too concerned initially, bearing in mind all the hype over bird flu, but this does seem to be a different kettle of sausages. I've gone for level 5, concerned but not anxious.

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    andrewwilde April 29 2009, 14:02:31 UTC
    Mmmmm.... Saauuussages...

    TBH, I'd probably have gone for similar (4-ish) if I weren't flying in the near future, to a developing nation in that region.

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    nicnac April 29 2009, 14:04:38 UTC
    Ooh, you off on holiday? G'wan, make me jealous.

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    andrewwilde April 29 2009, 15:10:28 UTC
    Aaah, nowt much. Doing a comp in Trini, couple of days grockling, then few days in Tobago, ditto Barbados. Hence the camera housing questions - Barbados digs are off a beach that turtles frequent, IIRC...
    (Assuming I can find vaccancies - call me organised!)

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    teadaemon April 29 2009, 07:23:18 UTC
    From the figures I've seen, I'd suggest that being young, old, or infirm might be a good thing - nearly all of the cases in Mexico have been aged between 20 and 50, which suggests that, like Spanish Flu, most of the risk of dying is comes from the reaction of the body's own immune system (a 'cytokine storm'), not from the virus itself.

    I'm still not that bothered though, as it's far less deadly than Spanish Flu, at least at the moment.

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    andrewwilde April 29 2009, 07:52:01 UTC
    Interesting. Thanks for this snippet.

    Still, it's something that access to good healthcare should help with though.

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