Well, I called that wrong ...
I believe I said before the coalition was formed (but cannot be asterisked to look up): this will be the death of whichever party forms the coalition.
My reasoning was: the LibDems would make proportional representation the condition of coalition. Both parties would be blamed for the bad things resulting from the recession, but the LibDems, under-represented on first-past-the-post, would take the lesser hit.
I went to the vote, not at all clear what (if anything) the LibDems had done to mitigate the Conservative ideas. I am worried that this will become clear in the next five years.
So ... given my excellent record on predictions for the next election, here goes!
I realise that my own 'favourite' outcome is actually a hung parliament. So I am very tempted to suggest this is what will happen. But I think an 'obvious' coalition will have a fairly easy win.
I don't think it's the next one which will be the new politics. I think it's the one after that. York Central will be Labour held, again. Both times.
My reasoning was: the LibDems would make proportional representation the condition of coalition. Both parties would be blamed for the bad things resulting from the recession, but the LibDems, under-represented on first-past-the-post, would take the lesser hit.
I went to the vote, not at all clear what (if anything) the LibDems had done to mitigate the Conservative ideas. I am worried that this will become clear in the next five years.
So ... given my excellent record on predictions for the next election, here goes!
I realise that my own 'favourite' outcome is actually a hung parliament. So I am very tempted to suggest this is what will happen. But I think an 'obvious' coalition will have a fairly easy win.
I don't think it's the next one which will be the new politics. I think it's the one after that. York Central will be Labour held, again. Both times.