I posted this as a comment over at Anglachel's blog earlier, thought I'd repost it here (for a more positive take, see here:
http://www.taylormarsh.com/archives_view.php?id=27616) (from an electoral horse-race point of view, NC was about what I expected and Indiana
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I thought she would lose huge in NC, partly because I remember the Clinton hatred in the South from when I used to go back home every year, and partly because of the 33% African American turnout in the democratic primary, which was about what I expected--until her #'s ticked up after Pennsylvania I thought she would lose by 20% or more.
I'm more surprised that it was so close in Indiana, though that is about what I expected it to be right after Penn--just made the mistake of believing the polls that showed her w/a solid win there, since prior to this most of the polls other than SUSA had been way off in his favor, and SUSA had her fairly solid in Indiana -- then again they had her too close in NC too, whereas previously they had been the one reasonably accurate polling service. Not sure what happened there.
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