Correlation and Causation

Sep 14, 2011 22:56

Long time, no post, I know.

Blame a lack of free time, or computer burnout, or burnout in general.
Or hell, blame chickens. They all deserve some blame.

Anyway, back to the impetus for the post.

As I lay in the darkness, trying to get Alex to go to sleep tonight, I had a thought. At first, the thought amused me. Then I tested the thought in a spreadsheet and realized just how right I was.

On June 13, 2008, our first child was born. On October 2, 2008, I got hit by a car.

On May 25, 2011, our second child was born. On September 12, 2011, I had an accident and rear-ended someone.

The spreadsheet helped me realize that birth to first accident was 111 days and second birth to second accident was....

110 days.

If we take these two samples and extrapolate a trend, then my third child will be born early May, 2014... and 109 days later, I'll be involved in another vehicular accident.
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