Note: I appear to have written this a couple of weeks
ago, but hadn't posted it. I probably thought I had something else to
say, but...
It's not every week that I see an article with a title like "
The
Doomsday Glacier". It was one of the links Firefox puts on my "new
tab" page, and was originally published on
May 9, 2017 in
Rolling
Stone. So naturally I went off looking for more recent -- and
more accurate -- information.
It seems that the
Thwaites Glacier and nearby
Pine Island
Glacier in Antarctica are melting, and rather quickly. Pine Island
is, in fact, the fastest-melting and fastest-flowing (4km/year in 2014,
which is the most recent number I could find on short notice) glacier in
Antarctica; it's responsible for about a quarter of Antarctica's ice loss.
The Thwaites is slower (2km/y), but wider. Both are
accelerating -- their speed has doubled over the last 30 years or so.
That's a problem, because it looks as though the whole
West
Antarctic Ice Sheet appears to be
becoming unstable, which could lead to a
collapse. You see, the layer of bedrock that the ice sheet is
sitting on is below sea level, and slopes down the
farther you go inland. And liquid water is heavier than ice.
It now appears that the processes leading to a collapse are unstoppable;
the only question is whether it will take a thousand years, or a hundred.
We could be looking at a sea level rise somewhere between two or three
feet and two or three meters by the end of the century.
Resources
...in no particular order; mostly from
January 18th...
[Crossposted from
mdlbear.dreamwidth.org, where it has
comments. You can comment here,
or there with openID, but wouldn't you really rather be on Dreamwidth?]