(no subject)
In her speech on Tuesday, Clinton said she's winning the popular vote in the democratic bid. I checked. She's not.
When Clinton says she's winning the popular vote, she's including Michigan and Florida. Both of these states were disqualified for trying to become more important by putting their primaries before Iowa's caucus. Michigan can't possibly be used in this race, as Obama took his name off the ballot in good faith when they both agreed not to campaign there. Therefore it's only natural that Clinton won that state. And it's therefore only natural that she wants to count these votes. However, if we're being fair, let's say we allow the Florida votes. Obama's still winning the popular vote.
Obama is 95% probably the Democratic nominee. The longer this fight lasts, the more likely McCain is to win. Seriously, it's more important for a Democrat to win than for Hilliary to win the nomination. The republicans WANT to go up against Clinton. He's breaking records all over the place for fund raising. Seriously, republicans are constantly attacking Obama, and, let's be honest, 90% of republicans hate Clinton's guts. When you start out with 40% of voters hating you right off the bat, you're not in a good position. Compare that with Obama, who has been winning republican voters over with his down-to-Earth nature and tell-it-like-it-is attitude. Obama's our generation's Kennedy. He's inspiring, he's intelligent, he isn't in the lobbyist's pockets, and he won't do WHATEVER it takes to get elected (unlike Clinton.) I've voted for him, and I'll vote for him in the fall. If by some miracle Clinton wins the nomination, I'll vote for her, but that's not very likely.
My odds on each candidate winning the presidency:
Obama 50%
McCain 45%
Clinton 05%
Paul 00%
Kentucky (and West Virginia) went in Clinton's favor along racial lines, according to many news sources, so that doesn't surprise me. As I write this, Oregon's results haven't been released, but it's expected that Obama will win. Oregon's just as big a state as Kentucky, and it'll give Obama a majority of the elected delegates. Seriously, people, he's the best chance this country has of continuing to be a superpower in the next 30 years.
When Clinton says she's winning the popular vote, she's including Michigan and Florida. Both of these states were disqualified for trying to become more important by putting their primaries before Iowa's caucus. Michigan can't possibly be used in this race, as Obama took his name off the ballot in good faith when they both agreed not to campaign there. Therefore it's only natural that Clinton won that state. And it's therefore only natural that she wants to count these votes. However, if we're being fair, let's say we allow the Florida votes. Obama's still winning the popular vote.
Obama is 95% probably the Democratic nominee. The longer this fight lasts, the more likely McCain is to win. Seriously, it's more important for a Democrat to win than for Hilliary to win the nomination. The republicans WANT to go up against Clinton. He's breaking records all over the place for fund raising. Seriously, republicans are constantly attacking Obama, and, let's be honest, 90% of republicans hate Clinton's guts. When you start out with 40% of voters hating you right off the bat, you're not in a good position. Compare that with Obama, who has been winning republican voters over with his down-to-Earth nature and tell-it-like-it-is attitude. Obama's our generation's Kennedy. He's inspiring, he's intelligent, he isn't in the lobbyist's pockets, and he won't do WHATEVER it takes to get elected (unlike Clinton.) I've voted for him, and I'll vote for him in the fall. If by some miracle Clinton wins the nomination, I'll vote for her, but that's not very likely.
My odds on each candidate winning the presidency:
Obama 50%
McCain 45%
Clinton 05%
Paul 00%
Kentucky (and West Virginia) went in Clinton's favor along racial lines, according to many news sources, so that doesn't surprise me. As I write this, Oregon's results haven't been released, but it's expected that Obama will win. Oregon's just as big a state as Kentucky, and it'll give Obama a majority of the elected delegates. Seriously, people, he's the best chance this country has of continuing to be a superpower in the next 30 years.