Some Fun Statistics :(

Sep 09, 2014 17:10

Doubling rates from running a linear regression on logarithm of Ebola cases over time:

Overall doubling rates (51 data points from 22 March to 5 September):

Cases: 32 days, R2=0.981
Deaths: 34 days, R2=0.979

In Liberia (22 data points from 2 July to 5 September):

Cases: 15 days, R2=0.995
Deaths: 16 days, R2=0.987

To put it in perspective: at this rate practically everybody in Liberia will have been infected in less than 6 months.
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