Nice coin trick, Derren Brown

Sep 11, 2009 21:41

Well, that was an interesting coin trick that Derren Brown showed, and the reason it works is mathematical even if the rest is bullshit. Blue's odds are 1 in 8, while Red's are 7 in 8. Why? Well, think about what they're doing.

From what I can tell, they're tossing coins until the last 3 match Blue's choice (HHH) or Red's choice (THH), then starting again with a new round of coin tosses. Now think about how Red and Blue can win. The only way Blue can win a round is if the first three coins are HHH. They can't get a HHH any other way, since that means a THH happens first and so Red wins. Therefore, Blue's odds are 1 in 8, and Red's are 7 in 8.
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