that puzzle really really bothers me. i mean the answer is that youre supposed to switch to the other door right? but wtffff that seriously doesnt make sense ahhhh T.T cuz like i remember how someone explained it to me once but i realized last time i thought about this puzzle that the explanation was total bs...and meh i just lost
OoOoOoOo ..but you're such a nerrrd! You're supposed to be able to figure it out! (And the reason why it bothers you is 'cause it's counterintuitive.) And damn, I really love my book (the one that I'm reading.. apparently I read). It has so many mathy references.. and even all the chapters are numbered by odd primes. It's so awesome.
i mean it seems like you really should be doing conditional probability...like, ok say you picked door 1, door 2 is revealed to not be it, door 3 is the other one...you REALLY care about
p(door 3 being it | door 2 isnt)
which really ought to be the same as
p(door 1 being it | door 2 isnt)
...i mean meh? the explanation i heard totally doesnt take into account the idea of conditional probability, which is really important...
yeah I'd think that it'd take into account the conditional probability as well ('cause the chance that the car is behind the door that you chose isn't 1/2, like most people would think)
.. maybe it's an Oakridge thing (to think me odd) I still like Ben's "i've never evaluated you mod 2".
Oh yeah, and that other time when you said that it had been days before I'd gotten on AIM, you were right.. well, not technically, 'cause I'd gotten on AIM, but I'd realized that it had been exactly 1 week since the last time that I'd talked to you on AIM.
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..but you're such a nerrrd! You're supposed to be able to figure it out! (And the reason why it bothers you is 'cause it's counterintuitive.) And damn, I really love my book (the one that I'm reading.. apparently I read). It has so many mathy references.. and even all the chapters are numbered by odd primes. It's so awesome.
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p(door 3 being it | door 2 isnt)
which really ought to be the same as
p(door 1 being it | door 2 isnt)
...i mean meh? the explanation i heard totally doesnt take into account the idea of conditional probability, which is really important...
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.. and I thought it was more like 20.
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well.. oopsie.. I thought I was gonna come back too.. and I did! (tho I guess after 40 minutes, you might not think that)
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I still like Ben's "i've never evaluated you mod 2".
Oh yeah, and that other time when you said that it had been days before I'd gotten on AIM, you were right.. well, not technically, 'cause I'd gotten on AIM, but I'd realized that it had been exactly 1 week since the last time that I'd talked to you on AIM.
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wooow yeah see it had been a while o_O
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Um.. just you and Josh. .. 'cause you 2 are odd.
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