Tuesday morning
Was to be a busy day already with five meetings on my calendar, but last night after 6pm I was sent a task with a due date of today. And I already had another document due today that I can't finish yet because I'm waiting on somebody else for their input. So, I'm teleworking instead of commuting, to help me to get everything done. I may have to work into the evening? I'll get it all done, it just can't fit into a commute day anymore. Which is yet another reason why having specific commute days makes no sense anymore. The two tasks now due today are leftover supervisor tasks that I'm in the process of handing off, but they aren't done yet. I can't wait until they're behind me for good.
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I slept well, despite having these things hanging over me. Meanwhile, I was able to stretch this morning before breakfast, and I'll try a 3-mile run at 8am. My left knee feels back to normal, after several weeks of possible mild-moderate gout flaring. I hope it still feels that way after the run.
I'll keep taking the gout medicine, as I think it is protecting me from having further gout flares in my knee and feet. But, my doctor never wrote me back, and it's been over a week. For now things have stabilized and I have three months supply of the medicine. I'm supposed to get follow-up blood tests in November. If the gout medicine doesn't keep the knee problem from popping up again I'll make an appointment to see my doc so I can request a referral to a specialist. I may do that anyway, but for now I'm waiting to see whether my knee is better with the meds.
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The polls and betting markets continue to trend toward Trump and other Republicans as we are now two weeks from Election Day. I saw that 15 million people have voted early already, and that Republicans seem more likely to vote early than they did four years ago, when Republicans were fighting with Democrats over pandemic-related early-voting and vote-by-mail procedures. Four years ago it was "stealing" the election, this year it's just another way for Republicans to get out their own voters.
Harris is doing so much worse in the polls two weeks out than either Hillary or Biden at the same point -- it is difficult to believe a normal polling error could save her campaign. But, some Democratic-leaning essayists are using motivated reasoning to convince each other that the polls are actually overestimating Trump this time. I remember feeling the same way back in 2016, when the final polls showed Hillary 3 points ahead, and so I decided she'd win by 6 points because people just couldn't really vote for Trump, could they?
I remember back then a reader of mine who lived in a Trumpier neighborhood called out my bullshit, and he was correct. I just couldn't believe Trump could win. Yet, he did.
If, instead, today's polling errors overestimate Harris by the same amount they overestimated Hillary and Biden two weeks out (by 3-4 points), then we may know Trump won by the next morning, instead of having to wait until the weekend while every last vote is counted in the swing states.
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OK, let's run, then tackle all the things today, until I'm done.
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I slept well, despite having these things hanging over me. Meanwhile, I was able to stretch this morning before breakfast, and I'll try a 3-mile run at 8am. My left knee feels back to normal, after several weeks of possible mild-moderate gout flaring. I hope it still feels that way after the run.
I'll keep taking the gout medicine, as I think it is protecting me from having further gout flares in my knee and feet. But, my doctor never wrote me back, and it's been over a week. For now things have stabilized and I have three months supply of the medicine. I'm supposed to get follow-up blood tests in November. If the gout medicine doesn't keep the knee problem from popping up again I'll make an appointment to see my doc so I can request a referral to a specialist. I may do that anyway, but for now I'm waiting to see whether my knee is better with the meds.
-----
The polls and betting markets continue to trend toward Trump and other Republicans as we are now two weeks from Election Day. I saw that 15 million people have voted early already, and that Republicans seem more likely to vote early than they did four years ago, when Republicans were fighting with Democrats over pandemic-related early-voting and vote-by-mail procedures. Four years ago it was "stealing" the election, this year it's just another way for Republicans to get out their own voters.
Harris is doing so much worse in the polls two weeks out than either Hillary or Biden at the same point -- it is difficult to believe a normal polling error could save her campaign. But, some Democratic-leaning essayists are using motivated reasoning to convince each other that the polls are actually overestimating Trump this time. I remember feeling the same way back in 2016, when the final polls showed Hillary 3 points ahead, and so I decided she'd win by 6 points because people just couldn't really vote for Trump, could they?
I remember back then a reader of mine who lived in a Trumpier neighborhood called out my bullshit, and he was correct. I just couldn't believe Trump could win. Yet, he did.
If, instead, today's polling errors overestimate Harris by the same amount they overestimated Hillary and Biden two weeks out (by 3-4 points), then we may know Trump won by the next morning, instead of having to wait until the weekend while every last vote is counted in the swing states.
-----
OK, let's run, then tackle all the things today, until I'm done.