Election notes, Missouri, North Carolina, Georgia
The latest poll from Missouri: O: +8.
The previous polls had shown a neck-and-neck race.
One of the most respected basketball coaches (retired) in North Carolina,
Dean Smith, endorsed Obama today:
"Linnea and I respect all that Senator McCain has done for our country. However, we feel strongly that it is Barack Obama who offers the real leadership our nation needs to tap its potential as a land of opportunity -- even as we face difficult times at home and abroad. Senator Obama is a patriotic American, a committed Christian, a good family man, and a man who shares the bedrock values that most North Carolinians have in common: fairness, hard work, respect for others, and personal responsibility."
Wouldn't mean anything to me, but North Carolina is crazy about basketball.
And a lot of the people Obama needs to win the state, swing voters, are
probably the kind of people who have followed the Tarheels for the last
40 years and look on this guy as a demigod. Even switching 1 in 1000
voters could be enough to flip the state; it's really close right now.
In Georgia, reports are coming in of polling places being swamped with
early voters (it's Columbus Day). What effect will early voting have?
Right now Obama is up more than 6% in the polls. Nominally, what
does that mean? Something like 25% of voters will be voting early
in many battleground states. That would mean the vote would be
split 13.25% - 11.75%, meaning that McCain would have to get 38.25%
of the remaining 75% of the electorate, or 51% of the remaining vote.
The previous polls had shown a neck-and-neck race.
One of the most respected basketball coaches (retired) in North Carolina,
Dean Smith, endorsed Obama today:
"Linnea and I respect all that Senator McCain has done for our country. However, we feel strongly that it is Barack Obama who offers the real leadership our nation needs to tap its potential as a land of opportunity -- even as we face difficult times at home and abroad. Senator Obama is a patriotic American, a committed Christian, a good family man, and a man who shares the bedrock values that most North Carolinians have in common: fairness, hard work, respect for others, and personal responsibility."
Wouldn't mean anything to me, but North Carolina is crazy about basketball.
And a lot of the people Obama needs to win the state, swing voters, are
probably the kind of people who have followed the Tarheels for the last
40 years and look on this guy as a demigod. Even switching 1 in 1000
voters could be enough to flip the state; it's really close right now.
In Georgia, reports are coming in of polling places being swamped with
early voters (it's Columbus Day). What effect will early voting have?
Right now Obama is up more than 6% in the polls. Nominally, what
does that mean? Something like 25% of voters will be voting early
in many battleground states. That would mean the vote would be
split 13.25% - 11.75%, meaning that McCain would have to get 38.25%
of the remaining 75% of the electorate, or 51% of the remaining vote.