There may be a few more national polls coming out before 5:00 PM ET, but the trend seems clear. With Gallup not polling, not a single national poll now has Romney leading. Even if Gallup were polling it would only be one poll in eleven, but to be "fair" (for some value of "fair" which I really have no idea of) I will eliminate the best Obama poll
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Since Wednesday there have been a total of 27,000 contracts traded, so a few partisan buyers have a hard time moving this market, unlike intrade.
Also, the vote share market is at D+1.95%
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