Nov 03, 2010 09:23
It looks like Bennet (D-Colorado) will eventually be declared the winner. As far as anyone can tell, all the outstanding vote is in D-leaning counties and he is already ahead by a small amount.
And one way or another an R will win Alaska (Murkowski seems to be leading).
That all but guarantees 52 Senate seats for the Democrats with the possibility of a 53rd in Washington, where Murray leads by about 1% but a lot of the vote (which only needs to be postmarked by Tuesday) is still to be counted.
Here's the spreads on the competitive races against the polling averages:
Boxer (D-California), +10 vs +5
Machin (D-West Virginia) +10 vs +4
Murray* (D-Washington) +1 vs +0.5 (* not over yet)
Bennet (D-Colorado) +0 vs -2.5
Kirk (R-Illinois) +2 vs +2.5
Reid (D-Nevada) +5 vs -3
Toomey (R-Pennsylvania) +1 vs +4.5
Not exactly a great night for polling averages. At least three and probably four of the outcomes of the races seem like they are outside the margin of error once you've averaged a fair number of polls.
2010 election,
colorado,
senate,
alaska,
washington state