Election Predictions

Nov 02, 2008 14:27

Here are my final predictions; I reserve the right to change these between now and Tuesday 9am EST, but I don't think I'll do so.


>2008 Election Contest: Pick Your President - Predict the winner of the 2008 presidential election.

Popular Vote: 52-48 Obama

My map is a lot more conservative than many out there, but I have a gut feeling about FL even though Obama is leading in the polls and most pundits' picks. I did switch over NV in Obama's favor from my last map.

Senate: Dems win in NH, CO, NM, AK, VA, OR, and NC for a total of 58 Senate seats; incumbent party holds all other seats.

Saxby Chambliss will barely get 50% of the vote to beat Jim Martin and avoid a runoff in GA.

House: This is a bit of a shot in the dark, but I'll say the Dems pick up 23 seats.

CA Proposition 8: No squeaks out a victory, protecting gay marriage in CA
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