Introduction
As we all know now, Muslim terrorists (I scorn the euphemism "militants") have struck Mumbai (aka "Bombay") in an extremely murderous attack aimed primarily at civilians. Over 100 people, many of them commuters and restaurant patrons, are dead, with over 300 more seriously wounded. Specifically targeted were foreigners, including Americans, Europeans, Japanese and Jews. Some number of hostages, including Americans, have been taken in three buildings.
The terrorists demand ... but who cares? They have made some noises, which hopefully the civilized world will ignore. What's more important than their insane ravings is what India -- and America -- are to do in response to this outrage.
Background
Pre-Independence India
Starting in the 11th century AD the Muslims commenced the conquest of India. Between this time and the 16th century, when the Muslim empires reached their maximum extent, the jihad claimed the lives of tens of millions of Hindus. At its most powerful, the despotic Mughal Empire controlled the whole of the subcontinent save for some parts of Southern India, enforcing dhimmitude upon the majority of its inhabitants. Most Hindus were ground down terribly.
From the mid-18th to mid-20th century, the British ruled the Indian subcontinent, including (by the mid-19th century) the territory which would later become India, Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Bangladesh. The British did a terrible and unforgivable thing from the Muslim POV. They failed to regard the Muslims as special and superior to the Hindus by virtue of their Islamicness. Indeed, in many cases they actually preferred the Hindus as local officials under the British administrative system.
A funny thing happened: Hindu culture revived. Without the Muslims enforcing dhimmitude, destroying temples and generally treating the Hindus like dirt, the Hindus got the idea that they were people, too. With rights. And once the Hindus got the British to acknowledge this, and grant the subcontinent independence, it turned out the Hindus were also the majority of the population in most parts of the subcontinent.
The smart thing for the Muslims to have done would have been to be very nice to the Hindus, so that the Hindus (who outnumbered them by about 4 to 1) would permit them to go on living unmolested. The Muslims were not smart -- when have they been? They massacred Hindus, and sparked genocideal sentiment among the Hindus in return. India's independence, in 1947, was accompanied by the murder of over a million by both sides -- in a conflict essentially started by the Muslims.
Post-Independence India
After 1947, Pakistan was seperate from India. This should have made the Muslims happy -- but it didn't, because they were furious that the despised Hindus now had their own country, one bigger, richer and more powerful than theirs. The "bigger, richer and more powerful than theirs" should have been a clue to them that attacking India was a very bad idea, but it wasn't, because they were Muslims.
The first war was the only one in which the Pakistanis actually gained ground, mainly because India wasn't yet all that organized. The First Kashmir War (1947-48) saw the Pakistanis succeed in conquering about half of Kashmir. The Pakistanis were not satisfied -- they wanted it all.
So they launched the Second Kashmir War (1965), which (ominously for the present day) started when Pakistan tried to infiltrate guerillas into Jammu and Kashmir to spark a revolt. This infiltration ("Operation Gibraltar") failed, and the subsequent open fighting was indecisive, mainly because the Indians weren't trying to conquer Pakistan.
In 1971, East Pakistan (Bangladesh) declared independence from Pakistan. The Pakistanis responded by ordering their troops to commit mass murders and rapes among the civilian populace of Bangladesh, and by invading India. The Pakistani Army was able to heroically defeat the women and children of Bangladesh, but curiously the brave Muslims of the Pakistani Army encountered greater difficulties when fighting people with weapons in their hands. (This is a common Muslim theme of the postwar era). Since India lies between Pakistan and Bangladesh (something the Pakistanis might have been better able to grasp if they'd ever studied map-reading alongside their classes in raping women and murdering children), Pakistan was utterly defeated, and lost Bangladesh.
Events simmered over the next quarter-century, with India growing richer and stronger, and Pakistan stagnating while funding a number of terrorist organizations against India. There were really two main reasons why India never gave Pakistan the pummeling she deserved: India is an essentially peaceful nation, and (due to the geopolitics of the Cold War) Pakistan was an American ally.
In 1999, the Pakistanis unaccountably decided that this time it would work for sure, and launched their fourth war against India, the Kargil War. This involved a drive against India's border positions in Kashmir. The Indians, once again, drove the Pakistanis out.
All the attacks on Kashmir were, of course, taking a toll. Slowly but steadily the Hindu population was being driven out. The Pakistanis looked to have found a strategy that could work, long-term -- unless they did something stupid, like supporting an organization that launched terrorist attacks against America, or continuing to launch terrorist attacks against India after America had already declared war on international terrorism.
Fortunately for India, the Pakistanis were Muslims, so Pakistani stupidity was pretty much foreordained.
The Terrorist Campaign Against India
Here's a list of major Pakistani-backed terrorist attacks against India in just the past 15 years, from
http://www.globaltv.com/globaltv/national/story.html?id=996942:
March 12, 1993: A series of thirteen explosions in Mumbai, then called Bombay, resulted in 257 deaths and over 700 injuries. The blasts were orchestrated by the organized crime syndicate called the D-Company, headed by Dawood Ibrahim.
Feb. 14, 1998: Coimbatore bombings: 46 deaths, 200 wounded as a result of 13 bomb attacks in 11 places.
Oct. 1, 2001: Militants attack Jammu & Kashmir Assembly complex in Srinagar, killing about 35. The Muslim extremist group Jaish-e-Mohammed was allegedly involved.
Dec. 13, 2001: Attack on the Indian Parliament complex in New Delhi led to the killing of a dozen people and 18 injured. Pakistan-based terror groups were blamed for the attack.
Sept. 24, 2002: Akshardham temple in Gujarat: The first major hostage taking since Sept. 11 in the U.S.; 31 people were killed and another 79 wounded.
May 14, 2002: Militants attack on an Army camp near Jammu, killing more than 30 people.
March 13, 2003: A bomb attack on a commuter train in Mumbai killed 11.
Aug. 25, 2003: Twin car bombings in Mumbai killed at least 52 people and injured 150. Indian officials blamed a Pakistan-based terror outfit.
Aug. 15, 2004: An explosion in the northeastern state of Assam killed 16 people, mostly school children.
July 5, 2005: Militants attack the Ram Janmabhoomi complex, the site of the destroyed Babri Mosque at Ayodhya in Uttar Pradesh.
Oct. 29, 2005: Three powerful serial blasts rocked the busy shopping areas of south Delhi, two days before the Hindu festival of Diwali, killing 59 and injuring 200. A Pakistan-based terrorist outfit, the Islamic Inquilab Mahaz (believed to have links with Lashkar-e-Taiba) claimed responsibility.
March 7, 2006: A series of bombings in the holy city of Varanasi killed at least 28 and injured 101. Indian police put the blame on some Pakistan-based terror outfits.
July 11, 2006: Seven bomb blasts occurred at various places on the Mumbai Suburban Railway, killing 200. Investigations revealed that terror outfits with a base in Pakistan were behind the blasts.
Sept. 8, 2006: At least 37 people were killed and 125 were injured in a series of bomb blasts in the vicinity of a mosque in Malegaon, Maharashtra. The blasts were followed by an explosion and most of the people killed were Muslim pilgrims. The students Islamic Movement of India was responsible.
May 18, 2007: A bombing during Friday prayers at Mecca Masjid, Hyderabad, killed 13 people. Four were killed by Indian police in the rioting that followed.
May 26, 2007: Six people killed and 30 injured in a bomb blast in India's northeastern city of Guwahati.
June 10, 2007: Gunmen killed 11 people in separate incidents of firing in Manipur's border town of Moreh.
Aug. 25, 2007: Forty-two people killed and 50 injured in twin explosions at a crowded park and a popular eatery in Hyderabad by Harkat-ul-Jehad-i-Islami (HuJI) activist.
May 13, 2008: A series of six explosions tore through Jaipur, a popular tourist destination in the Rajasthan state in western India, killing 63 people and injuring more than 150.
July 25, 2008: Seven blasts in quick succession across the south Indian tech city of Bangalore killed one and injured more than 150 people.
July 26, 2008: Serial blasts in the western Indian city of Ahmedabad killed 45 people and injured more than 150. A group calling itself Indian Mujahideen claimed responsibility.
Sept. 13, 2008: Five bomb blasts in New Delhi's popular shopping centers left 21 people dead and more than 100 injured. The Indian Mujahideen claimed responsibility.
Sept. 27, 2008: A blast in a New Delhi flower market left one dead.
Oct. 30, 2008: Thirteen bomb blasts in India's northeastern state of Assam and three other towns left at least 61 people dead more than 300 injured.
Note the scale of these attacks. Most of these attacks caused casualties in the hundreds. The total death toll is in the hundreds, the total casulty toll in the thousands. These were not pinpricks, even for a country the size of India. Also note that most of these attacks were carried out after 9-11.
What to Do?
India needs to be aware that Pakistan is essentially at war with her, and respond appropriately. It does not matter whether or not the part of Pakistan that at war with her consists of "rogue intelligence agencies" (do such ever REALLY exist?) or the whole elected regime: if the elected regime cannot control its intelligence agencies from launching attacks on such a scale, then the elected regime is not really in charge, and Pakistan is either terra hostilis or terra nullus in international-legal terms.
I. Demands
The first thing that India needs to do is make demands on Pakistan. Not "request negotiations," but "make demands." India is several times stronger and more populous than Pakistan -- the only reason why the Pakistanis find it at all practical to attack India in this fashion is India's insane forbearance. India should not worry about whether the demands are "unduly humiliating" to the "proud Pakistanis." In fact, humiliating Pakistan should be one of the objects of the demands, with the attitude that if Pakistan doesn't accept the demands, good, time for the Pakistanis to start their dying.
The minimum demand should be that these attacks stop, now, and that Pakistan should be forced to pay compensation for the damage caused by all the terrorist attacks on that list I just gave. If I were India, I would ask for triple damages, as is normal in punishing criminal actions. A perfectly reasonable demand would be the extradition of the terorrists belonging to the organizations that launched these attacks. An extreme demand, which I'd be willing to abandon if Pakistan acceded to lesser demands, would be to allow Indian intelligence agencies free run of the country, with the power to search and arrest at will, in order to enforce this extradition (this is the one that Serbia refused in 1914, history-buffs!).
II. If Rejected
If the demands are rejected, India should immediately launch a pre-emptive strategic strike against Pakistan, with the aim of taking out first Pakistan's nuclear capabilities and then, in sequence, her navy, her air defenses, and her heavy weapons. If, at any point, Pakistan responds with a counter-value strike (i.e. against the Indian civilian population), India should immediately begin bombarding the Pakistani civilian population with all available weapons. India must not be seduced into playing the "proportionate retaliation" game.
India must treat a rejection of demands as a declaration of war, and behave accordingly.
III. Long-Term
It should be obvious to the Indians now that their large and unruly Muslim population is a threat to their national survival. The Indians need to begin looking at ways to expel this population. Why should India -- a country founded as the revival of the Hindu dream -- permit their former conquerors to swagger among them making demands that the whole Indian population conform to the rules of their absurd desert cult?
Pakistan may or may not be permitted to survive. If it is necessary to destroy Pakistan, the Indians should move in with their army, occupy the place, and begin expelling the surviving Muslims from Pakistan. Surely some other Muslim nations will gladly take in their heroic and noble co-religionists?
In any case, India should not allow herself to be used as a punching-bag, any more.
IV. American Policy
Normally, I would say that it's very simple. America now has a golden opportunity to force Pakistan into complete compliance with her demands vis a vis Al Qaeda and the Taliban. If Pakistan doesn't immediately permit us complete access to the Northwest Provinces, and/or seriously attack the Terrorists with her own armed forces, we can ally with India against Pakistan, and use our own strike, ABM and intelligence assets to ensure that Pakistan must impotently suffer whatever India chooses to do unto her. If she does, we will kindly intercede to reduce the amount of the punishment Pakistan must suffer.
I put it like that because it would be wholly wrong of us to actually try to shield Pakistan from being punished for her insanely aggressive actions of the last day. It might be useful for America in the short run, but if we argue against an Indian chastisement of Pakistan, we undercut our own rationale for the War on Terror.
But things aren't normal now. We've elected an empty-pated pretty boy who Hopes for Change and has zero credibility on foreign policy. Who knows what Barack Obama will do?
Hopefully, he'll stay out of India's way.
Conclusion
As you see, I take a very hard-line attitude as to my policy recommendations for India. Sadly, I don't expect India to do much of this. India is currently dominated by the homegrown equivalent of the Euro-weenies, who are bending over backward to appease their Muslim minority and look at military action as (outdated) "hard power."
I expect India to do essentially nothing, and things to get worse, until the BJP is swept into power on a wave of national outrage.
And then, I expect the Pakistanis to begin their dying, a dying that will terrify Muslims for generations to come.
But it's all so unnecessary -- if the Indians grew a spine now, tens of millions of lives might be saved.
Most of them Muslim.
What do you think?