CFUW infection game

Jul 15, 2010 18:11

Okay, I just had a couple quick questions for you.

cfuw

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 22:15:55 UTC
Alright. Ask away!

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 22:19:39 UTC
If my guess is right about who the infected person picked to infect, then we're up against a very smart enemy. Because of that, I think I can narrow down who it is.

Yesterday we didn't get a clue, so except the large group that voted for Miranda everyone pretty much just picked someone. But I think that the infected person was smart enough to lay low and let everyone else accuse one-another. Barring those who had votes on them and those who were in the clue on the first day, that leaves you, Anise, Rita, and Speed.

What do you think of that? Do you think any of them could be our other infected person?

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 22:24:35 UTC
Well it's not me, but any of us could say that.

In the round before, Speed and Anise both voted on Kio, who was infected, and Rita voted on Mikogami. I don't know if we can really base much on that, though. The pile up on Kio was pretty big, so an infected would have really stuck out if they didn't vote for him.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 22:26:41 UTC
Yeah, I thought that too. And this infected person is pretty smart, so I don't think they would make that kind of mistake. That eliminates Rita, at least.

Though that still leaves Speed, Anise, and you- sorry, I have to at least consider it a possibility for now- and all three of you have been pretty active so far.

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 22:33:19 UTC
Well, I'm not going to pick myself, obviously, but exactly sure how to pick between Speed an Anise, though.

Both of them voted on Kio at a point when the votes could have gone either way. Which... Looks bad for me, but I might have still been able to sway it toward Mikogami at that point, too.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 22:40:14 UTC
Fair enough. And actually, Anise helped a lot with the clue on the first day, which wouldn't have made sense if she was an infected person. It would have been better for her to not help with that clue, which leads me to believe that she's not infected either.

On the other hand, Speed has been doing some really good detective work, and he actually managed to root out Kio as an infected person. It was his word that got Kio voted out, and I doubt an infected person would do that to their own teammate. I could see an infected person going along with the vote if it was heavily biased one way or the other, but almost nobody had voted then and Speed made the argument that swayed several people's votes.

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 22:46:34 UTC
Yeah, those are pretty good arguments for it not being them. I don't know how to argue it not being me, based in the day we didn't have a clue.

I was gonna pick either Miranda or Rita that day, since I thought votes were all we really had to go on. I went with Miranda when the votes started geting scattered, 'cause I didn't want some big huge tie for the shepherd to sort out.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 22:51:22 UTC
Yeah, that would have been a huge mess. But you just said that an infected person would go along with the crowd to hide instead of standing out, so why did you decide to vote on one of them?

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 22:54:37 UTC
'Cause both of them voted before the pileup on Kio was obvious. There weren't a whole lot of people suspecting him, early on. He only made it onto the ousting post because of a coin toss.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 22:56:49 UTC
If that's the case, then wouldn't they have changed their votes?

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 23:09:20 UTC
Oh. I didn't think about that.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 23:14:00 UTC
You're the infected person, aren't you?

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 23:15:57 UTC
No! I told you I'm not! I was just going on what I though was right that day. It's not like I was the only one.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 23:19:16 UTC
Look, I can find really compelling arguments for almost all of the other people in question, and you made a good argument for the one person I couldn't. And when I ask about you, you just say 'well I can't prove it, but believe me!' That doesn't look very good for you, you know.

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nocturnemission July 15 2010, 23:23:40 UTC
What else am I supposed to do? Look, I voted on Kio in both the suspicion poll and ousting the first day. I told you why I ended up picking Miranda on the second. Her, Rita and you were the only ones who didn't vote on Kio the first day, and she just seemed the most suspicious.

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hasmessyhair July 15 2010, 23:24:56 UTC
And you just said that the infected WOULDN'T vote like that, or they would change their vote. Or are you going back on that now?

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