CFUYEEEAAAAAAHHH [ Katsuya ]

Nov 10, 2009 00:38

Suou-san, what are your thoughts?

cfuw

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penalcodes November 10 2009, 06:01:24 UTC
To be honest, I'm somewhat lost.

I was wondering if it might be possible that Mr. Adachi wasn't a wolf after all, and the wolves chose to eat one of the remaining people from the clue in order to make it look as though we had gotten a wolf. Given that nearly everyone involved is a first-time player, that seems much more likely to be a beginner's mistake than a complicated and somewhat risky wolf ploy, but it may be worth considering.

If that isn't the case, then of course it must be you or Miss Shirogane, but that seems at odds with both of your behavior.

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handcocked November 10 2009, 06:09:50 UTC
Following your hypothesis that Adachi-san is not the wolf, then according to the clown clue, Raven-san must be the wolf, correct? Additionally, as I am in the "whorl" fingerprint clue with Adachi-san despite the fact that I have no fingerprints and Luke-san is the sheep, then I could be the wolf, as well. Is this your reasoning?

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penalcodes November 10 2009, 06:29:02 UTC
If Mr. Adachi was not the wolf, it would have to be Mr. Raven. I don't think that the groupings for the fingerprint clue are relevant - besides the one that was actually given as a clue, that is.

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handcocked November 10 2009, 06:34:28 UTC
Ah... do you truly believe that? It is a possibility, but if that were the case, why would the shepherd create extraneous and false clues?

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penalcodes November 10 2009, 06:45:27 UTC
I think it was simply to provide an extra step in figuring out the clue. Any of those groups of three could have been the group indicated by the clue; the players had to figure out which by matching the fingerprints to the data. Once that group was found, the others could be safely disregarded.

At any rate, that was the first day, so there were four groups of three, were there not? As there were only three wolves, there cannot have been a wolf in each group. Your group may have been the one without a wolf.

However, it's a moot point, as regardless of the fingerprint data, Mr. Adachi and Mr. Raven were in the clown clue together, and thus if Mr. Adachi was not a wolf, Mr. Raven must be.

That being said, it's all just a theory; it may be completely inaccurate.

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handcocked November 10 2009, 06:56:20 UTC
Yes, it seems that all of us are acting on theories, at this point. Yours is logical, considering the fact that if the extraneous fingerprint clues are correct, you have a high chance of being the wolf, as "Sherlock Hemlock" and "Tickle Me Elmo" have been eliminated as sheep from your group. I am convinced--if Adachi-san is not the wolf, Raven-san must be.

However, if Adachi-san was actually the wolf, the third wolf's identity... who would it be?

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penalcodes November 10 2009, 07:36:24 UTC
From my point of view, it would have to be either yourself or Miss Shirogane. You seem fairly genuine, and Miss Shirogane would most likely not have spoken out against Mr. Adachi had they both been wolves, so honestly, it's very difficult to say.

What do you think?

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handcocked November 10 2009, 07:48:22 UTC
I am a sheep, so between the two of us, Shirogane-san must be the wolf. Of course, my word alone is not very strong evidence...

Perhaps we just need more time to rethink our theories.

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hardlyboy November 10 2009, 07:57:13 UTC
I will admit this openly-- nearly every method of deduction I've used to discern who the last wolf is has revealed little, because all of us voted against Dimitri-san and Adachi-san, which means no matter how you look at it the last wolf hasn't been cooperating with the others. It's intensely frustrating at this point, and I have little to go on to determine who the wolf is among either of you, because I, like you, think Raven-san is most certainly a sheep. There is a small, very slim possibility that he isn't-- but it doesn't seem very likely.

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handcocked November 10 2009, 20:35:52 UTC
There is a vote for Shirogane-san. Is it yours?

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penalcodes November 11 2009, 02:58:37 UTC
It isn't. I thought it was yours; it must be Mr. Raven's, although he told me he found me the most suspicious.

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handcocked November 10 2009, 07:27:03 UTC
Ah... would you be opposed to the idea of opening this post up to Shirogane-san?

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penalcodes November 10 2009, 07:37:43 UTC
Not at all.

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