grew larger than my hands ever grew
Some notes from tonight's primaries in Virginia, Maryland, and the Federal City:
- Obama is now winning by ten more delegates than I had predicted in my post-Super Tuesday prediction.
- He increased his lead over Clinton 54 delegates, a blow out by any standards.
- He is now (not including super delegates) 883 delegates away from the nomination.
- He would need to win 92% of the upcoming delegates to win without the use of super delegates. Including the super delegates already endorsing him, he would need to win 70% of upcoming delegates to reach the magic number of 2,025.
- Obama has won 53% of the delegates overall, and 66% since Super Tuesday. According to my predictions, which have been low, he will take 57% of the upcoming delegates.
- But assuming he takes half of the super delegates, as would be expected in a close race, he needs win only 47% of the upcoming delegates.
- Clinton, meanwhile, has won only 47% of the delegates so far, and only 34% since Super Tuesday. Note that she won only almost half of the pledged delegates on Super Tuesday, which she trumpeted as a win.
- Clinton would need to stop her slide, and even reverse it, to achieve 76% of upcoming delegates assuming her current super delegate count holds steady, or 60%, assuming she wins the support of half the super delegates.
- Did you understand all that? Then I promise you you are now more informed that most of the people on network television.