Why property
is a dangerous investment.
The amazing Hong Kong property boom
may be peaking.
Chinese banks
have been told to stress-test housing loans.
Nice Vanity Fair piece
on the Irish housing and banking disaster.
In Beijing, the civil defence underground bunkers
are being rented out to give folk somewhere they can afford to live.
Suggesting cities
are becoming less vehicles of social mobility.
Looking
at US domestic migration and housing affordability. Looking at
the stunning collapse in house construction in the US. The price-to-rent ratio in the US
is returning to its historical long-term trend of 1:1. Useful post
with informative graphs considering a recent US Treasury report on housing policy. Useful
post with links on supply restrictions in various countries and jurisdictions.
A comparison of both UK and German housing markets show that land-rationing by regulation
produces both much more expensive housing but also much more volatile housing markets. Noting the impact of
local government finance systems on planning incentives.
Defending the median house price/household income measure:
The critics never bother to mention that the survey methodology, based on the median multiple, is a measure recommended by the United Nations and World Bank Urban Indicators Programs and employed by Harvard University's joint centre for housing - to name just three reputable institutions.
The latest Demographia report
continues to garner coverage and publicity.Looking at the
games played over housing affordability statistics.
Claiming that Oz
does not have a housing bubble. Praising a former bank economists
for his commentary on the housing market. Being very sceptical
about upbeat arguments about the Oz housing markets. About Australia’s expensive housing
and the difference between mortgage and housing affordability. Examining
how much more intense housing price inflation is in Australia compared to the US housing bubbles at their worse. New owner-occupier mortgages
hits 10 year low. Gold Coast millionaire’s row houses
are now selling for single-figure millions rather than double-figure millions. Noting Australia’s nonsense housing prices
and arguing for more public housing. Suggesting that Melbourne voter’s resistance to the Brumby Government’s medium density policies
helped get it defeated. The Greens
condemn the high price of housing. And
also. (They, of course, can be relied on to bitterly oppose any policies that would be effective in bringing prices down.) Arguing there
is no shortage of housing in Oz. Oz housing prices
are plateauing or dropping slightly:
Since prices peaked in May last year, they have fallen by 0.2 per cent in Sydney, 2.1 per cent in Melbourne, 4.1 per cent in Brisbane, 1.4 per cent in Adelaide and 4.7 per cent in Perth.
Report that real estate agents
are failing to report failed auctions as number of passed-in houses mounts. New housing loan numbers
have dropped dramatically. Dramatic
drop in land sales in December quarter. How government policy
is shrinking housing block sizes. Explaining nicely, with graphs,
what is wrong with housing policy in WA:
if Minister Buswell was really interested in finding a solution to housing affordability, he would look to address WA’s housing supply problems by freeing up overly restrictive planning processes which, according to the Productivity Commission’s recent
planning review, takes developers between 3 and 10 years (best case / worst case) to navigate before building can commence. Mr Buswell might also want to reconsider WA’s infrastructure charges, which add $20,000 to the cost of a typical new home.
One comment puts it in perspective:
I’m an out of work old fogey now but I can report that when I was 24, livin’ in the 70′s, I bought an ordinary 3 brm timber house close to CBD Brisbane for $28k. I was earning $14k, about average wages. Ratio 1:2.
Now, I’d need to be earning $250k pa.