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enbrailled September 1 2023, 17:09:44 UTC

Наши пишут, что командующий Романчук ввел последний из имеющихся у него пока резервов. Так что куль ли минация, или не кульминация - похоже что скоро станет видно.

Western media commentary and professional analysis of Ukraine’s efforts is deficient owing to a lack of operational experience. This problem dates to the Cold War. After the Soviet Union collapsed, the U.S. and Russian militaries ended rigorous intellectual analysis of combat, as they both lacked sophisticated adversaries against which to measure themselves. Both militaries began to focus on politics, informational manipulation and integrating technological change to facilitate military force.

Flawed analysis now disrupts the war in Ukraine. In February 2022, both countries had warped visions of the burgeoning conflict. The Russians’ was based on the Soviet pacification campaigns in Hungary, Czechoslovakia and Afghanistan, along with more recent Russian campaigns in Georgia, Syria and Ukraine in 2014. The Americans were convinced of Russia’s military superiority over Ukraine.

The current view among American military leaders that the Ukrainians should concentrate on a single decisive city in the Zaporizhia oblast, similarly, is nonsense considering the enemy has thick defensive lines and mobile reserves and neither side can gain air control. A breakthrough attempt absent the manipulation of Russian force dispositions would have been disastrous, no matter how many Western exhortations demanded an American-style push.

Conducting a linear defense is risky. If the enemy breaks through-and one’s units aren’t equipped for mobile counterattacks-then even an inferior adversary can be successful. Russia has based its entire defensive strategy on preventing a Ukrainian breakthrough and any subsequent Russian withdrawal to a new defensive line to consolidate and respond to an enemy breakthrough. Retreating under fire is difficult, particularly with disorganized, exhausted and demoralized forces.

Russia’s sector commander in the south, the Ukrainian-born Alexander Romanchuk, is well aware of his adversary’s objectives. Yet he knows his force’s limitations. He has prevented a Ukrainian breakthrough by feeding in reserve units, despite heavy casualties from Ukraine’s now-abundant supply of cluster munitions and drone-enabled system of directed artillery fire.

In the last week of August, Mr. Romanchuk finally committed his major remaining reserve, the Seventh Guards Mountain Air Assault Division, splitting the formation to plug two gaps in the east. These areas are crucial defensive positions. If Ukraine can push into Russia’s defensive belt and take the cluster of towns and trenches on which Russia relies on either axis, Mr. Romanchuk will need either to transfer reserves laterally or to rush any remaining troops from the Donbas, Kherson oblast or Crimea. Ukraine can strike these units as they move toward the front, attacking the bridges that link Crimea with southern Ukraine.

After two months of shaping and two months of combat, Ukraine has run Russia out of reserves. Still, Ukraine must take more ground to dislodge Russia from its front-line defenses and compel a reset. Had Ukraine heeded the advice Americans conveyed through the Washington Post and the New York Times, it would have impaled a half-dozen brigades on thick Russian defenses, allowed Russia to concentrate its own reserves, and seen its combat power erased in a few days.

While Ukraine’s approach is strategically sound, its forces need time. The longer Ukraine can maintain its offensive, the greater its chances of compelling a Russian linear reset or unraveling part of the line.

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mister_ch September 2 2023, 05:38:15 UTC
"Наши пишут"
А можно конкретнее, кто эти "ваши"?
Почему по-аглицки пишут?

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mindfactor September 2 2023, 21:54:06 UTC
потому что

Местонахождение:
London, United Kingdom

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mister_ch September 3 2023, 18:10:36 UTC
Но он-то по-русски пишет. Наши и ваши, получается.Или даже, прости Господи, ихние.

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ilennka September 3 2023, 20:54:32 UTC
лондонский зробитчанин - это сын понаехавшей в Москву украинки. По-русски его только писать научили.

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mister_ch September 4 2023, 04:42:01 UTC
А, ну тогда это из наших с вами человек, понятно.

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mamasha_muller September 4 2023, 04:59:07 UTC

Гыыы, знатно Вы в нее плюнули :)))

она ж не такая, ее родила не мама-украинка, как большинство нас тутошних, а махачкалинский "зєк выдюжил из места известного", как написал классик

чем она и гордится, дистанцируясь от нас, да и большинства россиян

а Вы взяли и обобщили

нельзя же так :)

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ilennka September 4 2023, 19:08:31 UTC
ну мамаша Мюллер права в том, что от антироссийских украинских проституток я лично предпочитаю дистанцироваться. У меня в роду таких точно не было)))

Но вот насчет того, что большинство россиян является детьми антироссийских проституток украинского происхождения - вот тут тупая селянка загибает. Среди всех лично мне знакомых этнических украинцев преобладающая масса являются абсолютно нормальными людьми - отбросов типа Мамаши Мюллер я лично только двух человек знаю

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