Why I am drinking the Kool Aid re: conspiracy theories about Sarah Palin's 5th kid
I posted this as a reply in another LJ, but I might as well out myself as being completely nuts here and explain why I believe that either Sarah Palin's 5th kid Trig is actually her older daughter Bristol's first child, or there is some huge piece of information that we are not getting, which might be as simple as that Palin is completely irresponsible with the health of her own children and has no judgment.
While an individual woman Sarah Palin's age is 36 times more likely to have a kid with Down's than someone Bristol's age, many more kids with Down's are both to teenagers than people S.Palin's age because of the much higher pregnancy rate in the former group, so that logic doesn't really work - you could say that a pregnant Sarah was more likely to have a kid with Down's than a pregnant Bristol, but if we don't know that either of them is pregnant, you can just as easily say that statistically Bristol is a lot more likely to be pregnant with a kid with Down's than Sarah, since she's so much more likely to be pregnant in the first place. Although that was what kept me from buying into this stuff before I read a lot more about it all.
Here's the deal:
Palin announced her daughter's pregnancy in order to dispel the rumors that Trig is actually Bristol's kid. She could have simply released a birth certificate and/or the standard hospital room shot of Palin in the hospital bed holding Trig, maybe with Bristol and the other kids gathered around her. Instead she basically threw her daughter under the bus when they could have waited, then announced Bristol's engagement, then announced the pregnancy, and people wouldn't have flipped out nearly so much, plus the RNC would have been over and she wouldn't have been distracting attention from that.
Sarah Palin announced her pregnancy at 7 months. I have seen no photos of her from earlier than that that made her look pregnant or slightly pregnant. I have seen a photo of Bristol from before that with what looks like it could be a baby bump.
Palin traveled to Dallas at 36 weeks. Why would she do this? Mothers are not generally advised to travel all that much so close to their due dates.
If Palin were pregnant, the kid would have been screened for things like Down's because of her age, so they would have known the kid had Down's. This is only relevant because it's a potential complicating factor and something she would or should have taken into account in her decision making process when:
She's in Dallas, her water breaks. Instead of going to a hospital there, which I think is the only logical response, she gets on a plane (which is directly against Alaska Airline's policies, incidentally), thus risking infection (leaking fluids) which would be dangerous for her and for the kid and also risks her giving birth in midair. She flies to Seattle then changes planes to fly to Alaska. Total flight time is 10-12 hours - a lot more time than anyone I know would feel comfortable assuming a kid wasn't going to be born in. She then gets off the plane in Alaska, and there's a hospital 15 minutes away. Her OB-Gyn is on the staff of that hospital and it has a NICU. She does not go to that hospital. She gets driven 45 minutes to a hospital with no NICU to deliver her premature child. It is delivered by a family practitioner who is no longer listed on the hospital's website even though he was there a few days ago. Palin put him on the Governors state health committee. The birth was not listed in the hospital's website's birth announcements.
There are photographs that appear to be pictures of Levi's sister (allegedly from her MySpace - cached versions obviously, since all this stuff got taken down) with Trig as a newborn. One picture of Mercedes and Trig, one of her with Trig and Bristol, one with her and Trig and Sarah. Why would Sarah's daughter's boyfriend's sister have a bunch of pictures of her with Trig? She would have pictures if he were her brother's first kid, not so much if it were her brother's girlfriend's brother. Also, the labels on the pictures: she describes Trig as her "little brother," Sarah Palin as "Mommy in Law," and captions the one with her and Bristol and Trig as "Family Love."
Bristol missed 5 months of school last year, allegedly due to mono, although the principal and assistant principal were also quoted in local Alaska newspapers as saying she'd transferred to a school in Anchorage unexpectedly after Christmas break.
This could all be cleared up really really easily, like I said. The problem is, if she wasn't covering up her daughter's first pregnancy, then she risked her unborn child's life in a series of horrible decisions that raise huge questions about her judgment.
http://www.politicalbase.com/profile/jnail/blog/&blogId=3482blog/&blogId=3482
http://www.politicalbase.com/profile/jnail/blog/&blogId=3471blog/&blogId=3471
While an individual woman Sarah Palin's age is 36 times more likely to have a kid with Down's than someone Bristol's age, many more kids with Down's are both to teenagers than people S.Palin's age because of the much higher pregnancy rate in the former group, so that logic doesn't really work - you could say that a pregnant Sarah was more likely to have a kid with Down's than a pregnant Bristol, but if we don't know that either of them is pregnant, you can just as easily say that statistically Bristol is a lot more likely to be pregnant with a kid with Down's than Sarah, since she's so much more likely to be pregnant in the first place. Although that was what kept me from buying into this stuff before I read a lot more about it all.
Here's the deal:
Palin announced her daughter's pregnancy in order to dispel the rumors that Trig is actually Bristol's kid. She could have simply released a birth certificate and/or the standard hospital room shot of Palin in the hospital bed holding Trig, maybe with Bristol and the other kids gathered around her. Instead she basically threw her daughter under the bus when they could have waited, then announced Bristol's engagement, then announced the pregnancy, and people wouldn't have flipped out nearly so much, plus the RNC would have been over and she wouldn't have been distracting attention from that.
Sarah Palin announced her pregnancy at 7 months. I have seen no photos of her from earlier than that that made her look pregnant or slightly pregnant. I have seen a photo of Bristol from before that with what looks like it could be a baby bump.
Palin traveled to Dallas at 36 weeks. Why would she do this? Mothers are not generally advised to travel all that much so close to their due dates.
If Palin were pregnant, the kid would have been screened for things like Down's because of her age, so they would have known the kid had Down's. This is only relevant because it's a potential complicating factor and something she would or should have taken into account in her decision making process when:
She's in Dallas, her water breaks. Instead of going to a hospital there, which I think is the only logical response, she gets on a plane (which is directly against Alaska Airline's policies, incidentally), thus risking infection (leaking fluids) which would be dangerous for her and for the kid and also risks her giving birth in midair. She flies to Seattle then changes planes to fly to Alaska. Total flight time is 10-12 hours - a lot more time than anyone I know would feel comfortable assuming a kid wasn't going to be born in. She then gets off the plane in Alaska, and there's a hospital 15 minutes away. Her OB-Gyn is on the staff of that hospital and it has a NICU. She does not go to that hospital. She gets driven 45 minutes to a hospital with no NICU to deliver her premature child. It is delivered by a family practitioner who is no longer listed on the hospital's website even though he was there a few days ago. Palin put him on the Governors state health committee. The birth was not listed in the hospital's website's birth announcements.
There are photographs that appear to be pictures of Levi's sister (allegedly from her MySpace - cached versions obviously, since all this stuff got taken down) with Trig as a newborn. One picture of Mercedes and Trig, one of her with Trig and Bristol, one with her and Trig and Sarah. Why would Sarah's daughter's boyfriend's sister have a bunch of pictures of her with Trig? She would have pictures if he were her brother's first kid, not so much if it were her brother's girlfriend's brother. Also, the labels on the pictures: she describes Trig as her "little brother," Sarah Palin as "Mommy in Law," and captions the one with her and Bristol and Trig as "Family Love."
Bristol missed 5 months of school last year, allegedly due to mono, although the principal and assistant principal were also quoted in local Alaska newspapers as saying she'd transferred to a school in Anchorage unexpectedly after Christmas break.
This could all be cleared up really really easily, like I said. The problem is, if she wasn't covering up her daughter's first pregnancy, then she risked her unborn child's life in a series of horrible decisions that raise huge questions about her judgment.
http://www.politicalbase.com/profile/jnail/blog/&blogId=3482blog/&blogId=3482
http://www.politicalbase.com/profile/jnail/blog/&blogId=3471blog/&blogId=3471