Here are the 2013 Hugos (for 2012), revisited using the same rules as I just did for 2014. The sad puppies were just getting going, and basically consisted of Larry Correia asking people to vote for his novel (which he did to a degree that I find distasteful, but nothing worse than that; it certainly wasn't an organised slate like the later sad
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But all of me says that until we see this years numbers and see what your proposal does, we're guessing without data. I suspect you're method is either going to add 0 or over 60 to this year's ballot, depending on if 10% is in fact the right threshold. The test will be "is there a percentage that suddenly flips from many adds to few?"
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