Rowling never specified what breed of dog Sirius' Animagus form was, and 'a bear-like black dog' doesn't do much to narrow the field of possibilities. However, if we assume that the transformation closely reflects the wizard's personality, and perhaps reinforces it, I think I might have identified our mystery breed.
(
Meet the Russian Newfoundland, also called the Moscow Water Dog. )
To illustrate, I really don't think that the school would be any better run if Lupin had stayed on permanently in some capacity. Slughorn in addition to Severus and the DADA-teacher-du-jour *might* have made the place better, but quite possibly not.
> (Also, why would Dumbledore lie about discontinuing Divination? What does he gain from that?)
He has seen to it that everyone views Divination as stupid and unreliable. By saying that he was planning to stop offering it, he's reinforcing that view. He also sounds wiser and less bound by tradition if he was planning to get rid of a useless subject -- two things that are important to his image.
> Setting all that aside, why would Albus want more teachers under his control? They're stuck at Hogwarts most of the year, making them useful for scut-work only for a few months during the summer. It's much more useful for him to have lackeys scattered throughout the ministry or pursuing independent ventures...
It isn't an either-or, teachers or people outside of Hogwarts. For that matter, if there were more "extra" teachers at Hogwarts, the teachers he did have would have more flexibility in their schedules: give the *other* person teaching Transfiguration to take on some additional classes, while McGonagall goes off to do something.
I don't know for sure that Dumbledore would want more teachers, but it strikes me as odd to assume that he'd want fewer.
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The real question is, what is the trade-off in benefits for Albus between having a scarce handful, at best, of personal minions trapped at school for most of the year vs an entire population that is woefully undereducated and poorly equipped to run a functioning society?
It's also important to keep in mind that Dumbledore does have to answer to the school governors, no matter how much he likes to pretend at omnipotence and omniscience. They removed him entirely in CoS, though (Albus claimed) they reinstated him once they panicked about a student's death. If Albus brought in more teachers to make his flunkeys' schedules more flexible, he would have to justify their absences. Opponents like Malfoy would jump on such a concrete example of Dumbledore placing his own personal agenda ahead of his duties to the school.
Most of my argument comes from familiarity with the tactics used to hobble public schools in the US as an excuse to privatize them. First, starve them of funding through budget cuts. This leaves students without necessary classroom resources, including adequate teaching staff.
At the same time, push standardized testing (multiple choice in our world, possibly practical spell performance in the WW) for a more 'objective' way to measure student accomplishment. This forces teachers to teach for the test instead of offering a rounded education. One of the first things to be lost in that trade is the nurturing of critical thinking skills and general problem solving abilities.
When student performance begins to suffer (as predicted,) blame the mess on teachers' unions and other school administrative staff. Replace the most capable resistors with private flunkeys or instigate a new round of budget cuts and 'restructuring' to 'solve' the problem, when in reality these actions serve only to exacerbate it - assuming one defined the original problem as a failure to provide our students with a thorough, liberal education.
The end result is a population well-trained to regurgitate answers on demand, but ill-equipped to solve them on their own, or to navigate propaganda or other spurious, fallacious arguments.
Authoritarian interests of all stripes are vested in such an outcome, because it makes it easier for them to manipulate the people. Additionally, fragmenting the school system makes it easier to institute, let's call them "alternative" standards, such as religious fundamentalists who would rather teach creationism than evolution.
We haven't been exposed to any of the usual arguments about the need to downsize schools or "reform" education, but the more I look at it the more the situation we see in the books is reminiscent of how our school systems function after being subjected to variations on the above-mentioned policies. Albus might have been headmaster of Hogwarts, but I don't think was interested in the education of his students as most commenters here would understand it. Rather the opposite, in fact.
Getting back to Divination, Albus told Harry, alone, he was planning on dropping it until he saw Sybil prophecy, at which point he decided to hire her and retain the class. His goal in that conversation was to convince Harry that Trelawny's prophecies should be taken seriously - why, they even convinced the wise Dumbledore the subject should maintained after all! Saying that he had always believed in the power of true Divination, despite others' short-sighted skepticism, and that Sybil was proof he was right would have been equally effective with Harry. He also knows by that point that Harry doesn't repeat or think critically about their discussions later, so he wouldn't have worried about his general campaign against Divination being disrupted.
Besides, it's unlike Dumbles to offer an outright lie about something it should be possible to fact check, instead of misdirecting his audience toward the desired conclusion.
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No doubt he would like to be. For the good of the school of course. Best to have someone who is actually "on the ground" and knows the issues have final say over the budget, he'd argue. While the governors would naturally disagree, and furthermore object strenuously to Hire X and want him/her gone now. Which Dumbledore ever so politely refuses to do. So the governors decline to post any new positions to try to force Dumbledore's hand, telling him if the new hires are so great they'll manage, and figuring that it'll be too hard to run things without more staff and Dumbledore will cave. Dumbledore retaliates by hiring gross incompetents, figuring once the governors' kids and grandkids are forced to be taught by these people, they'll cave to his demands and give him more control over how many positions are available, as a wedge into getting more control over the purse strings generally.
Or some other variety of a power squabble, if this doesn't quite work. (Never having had a good ringside view of one, I'd need more time to think and work out a really solid scenario.)
And if this happens to lead to the dumbing-down of the curriculum in the meantime, well, he can work with that. After all, it's his duty to ensure the children aren't learning any dangerous magic which might set them on the path to Dark Lord-dom. So cut alchemy as an elective, remove a few more books from the library, cut some of the more difficult and dangerous magic from the core classes... And hey, conveniently the teachers are also too busy to notice what he gets up to. Things are looking rosy after all!
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