There are some things that give me a deep, all-encompassing, sick fear. Spinal taps are one. Hurricane forecasts that do this:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0708W5_sm2+gif/144513W_sm.gifare another.
It's early, and some models don't put the storm over NOLA. However, when the models show that a forecasting error of statistically generous proportions needs to occur in order to AVOID a target, get outa dodge, folks.