I have just spent nearly two weeks playing 72 games of Collins. I'll spare the details of my performances in the two respective tournaments. Nothing to really write about there, except that I probably will need three years to master the Collins and the intricacies of the game associated with that book. Cramming for three months before one of
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I'm not sure how you're defining equity, but whatever it is, it's wrong, so please stop using the term this way :-) You mean something else, so choose a different word...
"Equity" has a specific game theory/probability meaning, and since you're an influential Scrabble thinker, I'd rather not have lots of people learning a distorted definition of the word :-)
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(score of current play) - (expected score of opponent's next play) + (expected score of next play)
Essentially, it is what is calculated in a 2-ply sim. There are good reasons for going exactly 2 ply ahead. In this way, you're taking into account the defensive value of the play and the value of the leave toward your next play. Anything beyond that is much less meaningful, because the tiles on the racks and the shape of the board are so unpredictable.
Equity is a very useful concept for Scrabble analysis and it is accepted jargon in the community, which is a nice way of saying buzz off and stop telling people they're wrong when you don't know what you're talking about.
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Well, yeah, obviously. You (David) have played 422 WESPA games (winning consistently) and Kenji has played 0. And I would think Kenji would realize the importance of that. He understands TWL quite deeply, but I'm very doubtful that he understands the Collins metagame well enough to be trusted on the sort of high-level strategic points he's making.
Also, Kenji is sort of on an ice floe in the middle of nowhere with respect to his idea of what Scrabble should be like. Your crack about removing the blanks made me laugh, because that is exactly the sort of thing he would suggest -- he once proposed that the penalty for an unsuccessful challenge should be forfeit of game.
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you get the idea. the possibilities are endless. just some food for thought.
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