Comments | breakattiffanys: The Breakdown (aka my Excel skills finally put to use on something not Econ related)

breakattiffanys

The Breakdown (aka my Excel skills finally put to use on something not Econ related)

Feb 23, 2010 20:10

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oscar simulation

Comments 22

eatingthepeach February 24 2010, 11:26:31 UTC

This was really interesting! Thanks for doing it :D The Best Picture voting explanation was really illuminating.

breakattiffanys February 24 2010, 20:25:25 UTC

I'm glad it was interesting to people! I thought I was just a crazy person for being into this stuff, lol.

so_bambiesque February 24 2010, 11:52:06 UTC

Thank you for doing this, it was so interesting! (Especially for a total statistics junkie.) I'm surprised, and yet oddly pleased, that if we were voting, Carey Mulligan would get Best Actress. Consensus seems to put Sandra and Meryl as the only two real contenders.

And the lack of love for The Blind Side makes me so sad :(

fatpie42 February 24 2010, 16:29:23 UTC

I can't speak for most people, but I haven't seen The Blind Side. But answer honestly: If you were voting based on the trailer alone, would you give The Blind Side a second thought?

As for Carey Mulligan, I think it probably helps that those of us who haven't seen the movie might well be Doctor Who fans. (She starred in possibly the best Doctor Who episode ever: "Blink".)

breakattiffanys February 25 2010, 01:23:58 UTC

Sandra and Meryl have the most precursors but I think their performances are considered overrated by many. And Carey has a lot of new fans these days!

fairchilds February 24 2010, 13:10:20 UTC

I read this first and it definitely helped me understand the system a lot better! (I was always so confused by the whole new voting system)

Thanks for this! I hope we get to do this every year, it was so fun.

breakattiffanys February 24 2010, 20:23:09 UTC

Oh good! I'm glad it helped! I figure this would be a good opportunity to explain the system better.

fatpie42 February 24 2010, 16:23:43 UTC

Fish Tank (which I believe actually does not qualify for this year)

Sorry what? Why not?

breakattiffanys February 24 2010, 19:54:15 UTC

The Oscars require that a film is released in the US before Dec. 31st and I believe Fish Tank got released after the new year in the US.

fatpie42 February 24 2010, 21:28:15 UTC

Presumably film festivals don't count?

breakattiffanys February 24 2010, 21:30:20 UTC

No I don't think so. Otherwise The Hurt Locker would've been 2008.

loner_angel February 24 2010, 17:46:03 UTC

Is it horrible how funny I found the fact that basically no one voted for Avatar & The Blind Side for BP? lmfao!
This was very interesting though. Too bad the Oscars can't be decided this way. It would make for an interesting show I think.

breakattiffanys February 24 2010, 20:24:45 UTC

Haha. Those two should've just been replaced by the two winners of the Should have been nominated category. Then that would've been a pretty great set of nominees.