Election predictions
In keeping with tradition in 2004 and 2006, this is the Federal election blog:
There really isn't much to write here. I haven't really been paying attention to this race since back around the middle of September. This disinterest corresponds roughly to 1) The torts professor stepping up the pace of the readings and 2) Obama opening up a big lead.
This race is going to be anti-climatic compared to 2000 and 2004. Much is being made about the parties gearing up for possible lawsuits, etc but it won't matter. John McCain is going to lose big tomorrow (my favorite quote so far has been on commentor on Fark saying he was "going to get curb stomped").
Popular vote prediction:
Obama: 54
McCain: 46
Electoral College Prediction (said curb stomping, 280 votes needed to win):
Obama: 341
McCain: 197
In short, it won't be a good day to be a Republican.
The far more interesting discussions will come in the days and weeks after when the GOP soul searching begins. Conservatism as we know it is dead. Bush knew it back in 2000 when he adopted his "compassionate conservatism" mantra. George Will called it six years ago, and then again in a Newsweek column back in March.
It is an ideology that is arose in the early 1960's as a cultural and political response to the social upheavels of the time and in response to the Soviet Union. As an ideology, it has run its course and is no longer resonating with the voters of today. The election results will prove that.
After the loses in 2000, the Democratic leadership huddled down and reexamined the party's values. What emerged from that was a more moderate and centerists Democratic party. If the Republicans wish to remain viable, then they will need to do the same.
On the local front, I'll be voting yes to Prop 4 in Irving which will allow alcohol sales in the stores. It is amazing here that you can't walk into a 7-11 or a grocery store and pick up a six pack.
Any opportunity, no matter how miniscule or abstract, to stick my right index finger in MADD's eye is alright with me.
/Readies the flaming bag of poo.....
There really isn't much to write here. I haven't really been paying attention to this race since back around the middle of September. This disinterest corresponds roughly to 1) The torts professor stepping up the pace of the readings and 2) Obama opening up a big lead.
This race is going to be anti-climatic compared to 2000 and 2004. Much is being made about the parties gearing up for possible lawsuits, etc but it won't matter. John McCain is going to lose big tomorrow (my favorite quote so far has been on commentor on Fark saying he was "going to get curb stomped").
Popular vote prediction:
Obama: 54
McCain: 46
Electoral College Prediction (said curb stomping, 280 votes needed to win):
Obama: 341
McCain: 197
In short, it won't be a good day to be a Republican.
The far more interesting discussions will come in the days and weeks after when the GOP soul searching begins. Conservatism as we know it is dead. Bush knew it back in 2000 when he adopted his "compassionate conservatism" mantra. George Will called it six years ago, and then again in a Newsweek column back in March.
It is an ideology that is arose in the early 1960's as a cultural and political response to the social upheavels of the time and in response to the Soviet Union. As an ideology, it has run its course and is no longer resonating with the voters of today. The election results will prove that.
After the loses in 2000, the Democratic leadership huddled down and reexamined the party's values. What emerged from that was a more moderate and centerists Democratic party. If the Republicans wish to remain viable, then they will need to do the same.
On the local front, I'll be voting yes to Prop 4 in Irving which will allow alcohol sales in the stores. It is amazing here that you can't walk into a 7-11 or a grocery store and pick up a six pack.
Any opportunity, no matter how miniscule or abstract, to stick my right index finger in MADD's eye is alright with me.
/Readies the flaming bag of poo.....