PFF results
I don't use my LJ for anything anymore, though I suppose I could always mirror my actual blog. But LJ's probably the venue of choice for Fantasy Football discussion:
For our PFF league, I created a list of Fantasy Studs of 2009 using the following methodology:
Using the top X players at each position(where X = 2 * num_league_teams * num_players_position)
Calculate the average and standard deviation score over weeks 1-14(the fantasy regular season)
From that, any fantasy studs are a player who performed at least 1 standard deviation from the average.
Standard deviations of said player score list(QB - 56, RB - 48, WR - 34, TE - 28, K - 15, DST - 20)
From that perspective, I present to you the Pull Fat Fat Fantasy Studs of 2009
4 QBs(Brees, Rodgers, Manning, Favre)
8 RBs(Chris Johnson, AP, MJD, Ray Rice, Thomas Jones, Ricky Williams, Addai, Steven Jackson)
14 WRs(Andre Johnson, Randy Moss, Miles Austin, Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, DeSean Jackson, Marques Colston, Wes Welker, Vincent Jackson, Roddy White, Sidney Rice, Steve Smith(NYG), Chad Ochocinco)
3 TEs(Davis, Clark, Gates)
5 Ks(Kaeding, Akers, Longwell, Tynes, Bironas)
4 DSTs(Saints, Packers, Eagles, Jets)
Out of these 38, 33 were drafted. So Sidney Rice, Vernon Davis, Tynes, Saints DST, and Packers DST were clearly the top free agent pickups for the season. Thacker picking up Rice in week 4 was clearly the best grab of the season.
There's some interesting correlations(no RB stud teams made the playoffs, whereas all the teams with 2+ WRs did) between stud players in various positions vs playoff teams, but those disappear as soon as the comparison is made to teams with a winning record, as our divisions weren't necessarily balanced.
Rating the top picks based on round and studliness(basically the standard deviation of that position), here's the Best Draft Value(or possibly best keeper):
Round 11 - Brett Favre (Hsien)
Round 12 - Ricky Williams (Charles)
Round 15 - Miles Austin (Lee)
Round 11 - Steve Smith(NYG) (Lee)
Round 7 - Ray Rice (Falcon)
Which introduces a huge dilemma for me next season, as I have 3 amazing potential keepers with Austin(15), S. Smith(11), and V. Davis(Undrafted) and only two slots.
Using similar methodology, here's the Dan Snyder Biggest Waste of a Draft Pick list:
Round 1 - Brian Westbrook (Ben)
Round 2 - Clinton Portis (Charles)
Round 3 - Derrick Ward (Jason)
Round 5 - Marshawn Lynch (Brett)
Round 6 - Willie Parker (Scott)
Tabulating the points earned from players that they drafted, Ben wins the Fire and Forget award for 98.43% of his points over the course of the season coming from players that he drafted(average is 81%). Conversely, Jason gets the Fuck My Draft award with the low of 65.28%.
For our PFF league, I created a list of Fantasy Studs of 2009 using the following methodology:
Using the top X players at each position(where X = 2 * num_league_teams * num_players_position)
Calculate the average and standard deviation score over weeks 1-14(the fantasy regular season)
From that, any fantasy studs are a player who performed at least 1 standard deviation from the average.
Standard deviations of said player score list(QB - 56, RB - 48, WR - 34, TE - 28, K - 15, DST - 20)
From that perspective, I present to you the Pull Fat Fat Fantasy Studs of 2009
4 QBs(Brees, Rodgers, Manning, Favre)
8 RBs(Chris Johnson, AP, MJD, Ray Rice, Thomas Jones, Ricky Williams, Addai, Steven Jackson)
14 WRs(Andre Johnson, Randy Moss, Miles Austin, Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, DeSean Jackson, Marques Colston, Wes Welker, Vincent Jackson, Roddy White, Sidney Rice, Steve Smith(NYG), Chad Ochocinco)
3 TEs(Davis, Clark, Gates)
5 Ks(Kaeding, Akers, Longwell, Tynes, Bironas)
4 DSTs(Saints, Packers, Eagles, Jets)
Out of these 38, 33 were drafted. So Sidney Rice, Vernon Davis, Tynes, Saints DST, and Packers DST were clearly the top free agent pickups for the season. Thacker picking up Rice in week 4 was clearly the best grab of the season.
There's some interesting correlations(no RB stud teams made the playoffs, whereas all the teams with 2+ WRs did) between stud players in various positions vs playoff teams, but those disappear as soon as the comparison is made to teams with a winning record, as our divisions weren't necessarily balanced.
Rating the top picks based on round and studliness(basically the standard deviation of that position), here's the Best Draft Value(or possibly best keeper):
Round 11 - Brett Favre (Hsien)
Round 12 - Ricky Williams (Charles)
Round 15 - Miles Austin (Lee)
Round 11 - Steve Smith(NYG) (Lee)
Round 7 - Ray Rice (Falcon)
Which introduces a huge dilemma for me next season, as I have 3 amazing potential keepers with Austin(15), S. Smith(11), and V. Davis(Undrafted) and only two slots.
Using similar methodology, here's the Dan Snyder Biggest Waste of a Draft Pick list:
Round 1 - Brian Westbrook (Ben)
Round 2 - Clinton Portis (Charles)
Round 3 - Derrick Ward (Jason)
Round 5 - Marshawn Lynch (Brett)
Round 6 - Willie Parker (Scott)
Tabulating the points earned from players that they drafted, Ben wins the Fire and Forget award for 98.43% of his points over the course of the season coming from players that he drafted(average is 81%). Conversely, Jason gets the Fuck My Draft award with the low of 65.28%.